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C.A. Progreso - Penarol prediction
Match predictions
By examining the details using statistical and analytical methods, we have determined that the Double chance - 1X is the best potential outcome for the C.A. Progreso versus Penarol matchup. With a comprehensive review of the match already completed, our predictions are reliable.
Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 04.04.2026 19:44
Match preview
The match between C.A. Progreso and Penarol, as part of the Primera Division (Uruguay), is scheduled for 04.04 at 18:00. Betting enthusiasts can use the following analysis of teams' statistics and prediction to gain detailed insight into their betting decisions for the match.
H2H and previous results
Teams have faced each other in a total of 21 games, in which their last meeting took place on 01.08.25 with score 2:1, with C.A. Progreso winning 2, Penarol winning 15, and 4 games in a draw. So far, the goal difference between the teams is 16-40.
H2H Statistics
C.A. Progreso
Penarol
![Penarol]()
2 wins
4 draws
15 wins
Comparison stat
Find out about the last 10 matches between C.A. Progreso and Penarol, including their wins, draws, losses, and the stats on goals scored and allowed.
C.A. Progreso
Penarol
![Penarol]()
10
Matches
1 - Wins
5 - Draws
4 - Loses
Goal Difference
-6
9
15
Scored
Conceded
+7
15
8
10
Matches
Wins - 6
Draws - 2
Loses - 2
C.A. Progreso review
So far this season, the C.A. Progreso has played 10 matches, with 1 wins, 4 losses, and 5 draws. At home, they have 1 wins. This record has put the team in 14 place in the league. C.A. Progreso has scored 11 goals and conceded 18 on average per match at their home stadium, making their goal difference -7. The average number of goals they have scored in their home matches is 27.9. Also, 30% of their home games have seen both teams score 3, and it takes C.A. Progreso 27.9 minutes on average to score a goal in their matches at home.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Copelotti, Matteo, Viera, Santiago, Fernandez, Nicolas, Martín, Mauro, Fernandez, Fabricio, De Leon, Facundo, Carroso, Hernan
Penarol review
This season, the Penarol has played 10 games in the Primera Division tournament, and won 6 meetings. They have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1 times in total. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 9, giving them a goal difference of +5. They are currently in the 2 spot in the table. On average, 41.7 goals are scored by both teams in Penarol away matches. Also, 40% of matches feature both teams scoring, with 4 of games in total. Additionally, it takes 41.7 minutes of game time for the away team to score.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Arezo, Matias, Angulo, Luis Miguel, Olivera, Maximiliano, Togni, Gaston, Fernandez, Leonardo, Fernandez, Roberto, Darias, Eduardo.
Standings
| # | Team | G | Pts | W | D | L | G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Penarol
|
9 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 |
| 14 |
C.A. Progreso
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:15 |
Standings tracker
C.A. Progreso
Penarol
![Penarol]()
15
Position
4
15
Round
15
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C.A. Progreso
DRAW
Penarol
Will both teams score?
YES
50%
NO
50%
Who will score first?
C.A. Progreso
No goal
34%
Penarol
Prematch stats
C.A. Progreso
Penarol
![Penarol]()
10
Matches
1 - Wins
5 - Draws
4 - Loses
Goal Difference
-6
9
15
Scored
Conceded
+7
15
8
10
Matches
Wins - 6
Draws - 2
Loses - 2
C.A. Progreso struggles in their 9 matches with just 1 win and 4 draws. They lost 4 times and scored only 9 goals while conceding 15. This team fights hard but lets in goals often. Penarol shines brightly with 6 wins in the same 9 games. They drew once and lost twice, scoring 15 goals and conceding just 8.
Comparing the two, Penarol looks dominant with more wins and fewer losses. They score goals steadily and defend well. Progreso, though, faces tough times with their leaky defense. Fans see Penarol as the powerhouse ready to charge ahead in the league. This matchup promises excitement on the field.
Scored
Full time
1st Half / 2nd Half
Over 0.5
56%
100%
Over 1.5
33%
44%
Over 2.5
11%
22%
Over 3.5
0%
0%
Failed to score
44%
0%
Statistics of C.A. Progreso matches and Penarol matches within the tournament Primera Division.
Oh, what a thrilling showdown we have brewing between the resilient C.A. Progreso and the unstoppable Penarol! Progreso, battling hard with just one goal per match, often struggles, failing to score in 44% of games, while Penarol roars ahead at 1.67 goals, never once blanked and hitting over 0.5 goals in every single outing. Their over 2.5 goals sit at a modest 11% for Progreso versus Penarol's fiery 22%, showing Penarol's more explosive style that keeps fans on the edge of their seats.
Delving deeper, Progreso manages to score in the second half 56% of the time, averaging a mere 0.44 goals before the break and 0.56 after, but Penarol dominates with 44% first-half strikes and a whopping 78% in the second, boasting averages of 0.78 and 0.89 respectively. While Progreso scores in both halves only 33% of games, Penarol does so 22%—proof of their relentless pressure that makes every match a heart-pounding spectacle for eager fans.
Conceded
Penarol is +88% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Full time
1st Half / 2nd Half
Over 0.5
89%
67%
Over 1.5
56%
22%
Over 2.5
22%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
0%
Clean sheets
11%
33%
Statistics of C.A. Progreso matches and Penarol matches within the tournament Primera Division.
C.A. Progreso fights hard but their defense leaks goals, conceding 1.67 per match. They face over 0.5 goals in 89% of games. Penarol shows a solid wall, letting in just 0.89 goals per match and over 0.5 in only 67%. Progreso struggles with clean sheets at 11%, while Penarol boasts 33%, making them the tougher defenders on the pitch.
In the first half, Progreso concedes an average of 0.89 goals, but Penarol keeps it tight at 0.44. Penarol's clean sheets shine in both halves, at 56% and 67%. Progreso's defense weakens in the second half too, with 0.78 goals conceded on average. Penarol's strength makes them the dominant force, ready to dominate any clash.
Goals handicap
Full time
1st Half
2nd Half
C.A. Progreso fights hard but often trails in full-time handicaps, hitting +2.5 at 67% and +1.5 at 78%, while Penarol charges ahead with +1.5 at 100% and -0.5 at 67%. This shows Penarol's dominance, scoring wins by bigger margins and making them the fiercer force on the pitch.
In the first half, Progreso's +1.5 reaches 89%, yet Penarol nails it at 100%. The second half sees Penarol shine again with +1.5 at 100%, proving their relentless energy compared to Progreso's steady but less explosive play, keeping fans on the edge of their seats.
Goals by Time Period
10 mins
15 mins
C.A. Progreso
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
13%
11%
13%
11 - 20 mins
17%
0%
27%
21 - 30 mins
8%
11%
7%
31 - 40 mins
4%
11%
0%
41 - 50 mins
13%
11%
13%
51 - 60 mins
8%
11%
7%
61 - 70 mins
13%
0%
20%
71 - 80 mins
13%
22%
13%
81 - 90+ mins
11%
23%
0%
Penarol
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
17%
20%
13%
11 - 20 mins
4%
7%
0%
21 - 30 mins
9%
13%
0%
31 - 40 mins
9%
7%
13%
41 - 50 mins
13%
0%
38%
51 - 60 mins
9%
0%
25%
61 - 70 mins
4%
7%
0%
71 - 80 mins
17%
20%
13%
81 - 90+ mins
18%
26%
-2%
C.A. Progreso
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
17%
11%
20%
16 - 30 mins
21%
11%
27%
31 - 45 mins
8%
22%
0%
46 - 60 mins
17%
11%
20%
61 - 75 mins
17%
0%
27%
76 - 90+ mins
20%
45%
6%
C.A. Progreso
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
17%
20%
13%
16 - 30 mins
13%
20%
0%
31 - 45 mins
13%
7%
25%
46 - 60 mins
17%
0%
50%
61 - 75 mins
9%
7%
13%
76 - 90+ mins
31%
46%
-1%
C.A. Progreso bursts onto the field with fierce energy in the early minutes, grabbing 17% action right away, while Penarol matches that spark at 17%. Progreso then surges ahead in the 16-30 minutes with 21%, outpacing Penarol's steady 13%, showing their dynamic start that excites fans.
Later, Penarol turns thrilling in the final stretch, claiming 31% in the last 15 minutes, compared to Progreso's mixed efforts at times reaching 45% but often fading. This late push makes Penarol a nail-biting force, keeping spectators on the edge as they compare the teams' heart.
Result by half
1st Half
2nd Half
C.A. Progreso often struggles early, winning just 11% in the first half while drawing 44% and losing 45%. Penarol shines brighter, grabbing 44% wins and keeping losses to 34%. This shows Penarol's early strength against Progreso's shaky start.
In the second half, Progreso fights but wins only 22% and loses 45%. Penarol dominates with 56% wins and just 22% losses. Penarol's consistent power makes them a tough force, while Progreso lags behind.
First goal
Statistics on the percentage of matches, where C.A. Progreso and Penarol scored first in the Primera Division of the 2026/2026 season
C.A. Progreso fights hard but often lags behind, scoring first just 22% of the time. This shows their struggle to seize the early advantage in matches.
Penarol, full of fire and drive, scores first in 56% of games. This edge makes them a dominant force, ready to pounce on opponents right away.
Cards statistics
Cards per match
Total cards per match for C.A. Progreso and Penarol at the tournament Primera Division in 2026/2026 season.
Total Cards
Team Cards
Cards Against Team
C.A. Progreso shows a fierce edge with an average of 4 cards per match, outpacing Penarol's 3. Both teams hit over 1.5 and 2.5 cards in every game, but Progreso surges ahead on higher totals like over 4.5 at 78 percent against Penarol's 67 percent. This makes Progreso look more aggressive on the field, where cards fly in intense battles.
When we check team cards, Progreso exceeds 1.5 in 89 percent of matches, topping Penarol's 78 percent, showing their players dive into action harder. For cards against them, Penarol faces over 1.5 every time, versus Progreso's 67 percent, proving opponents target Penarol more. These stats paint a picture of two dynamic teams clashing with passion and grit.
Trends
5 / 10 of last matches C.A. Progreso in all competitions, at least one team did not score
5 / 10 of last matches C.A. Progreso in Primera Division, at least one team has not scored
5 / 10 of the last matches between the teams, at least one of the teams did not score
4 / 10 of last matches Penarol in all competitions, at least one team did not score
4 / 10 of last matches Penarol in Primera Division, at least one team has not scored
4 / 10 of her last matches C.A. Progreso in all competitions ended in defeat
4 / 10 of last matches C.A. Progreso in Primera Division ended in defeat
6 / 10 of last matches Penarol in all tournaments ended with her victory
6 / 10 of last matches Penarol in Primera Division ended with her victory
8 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in victory Penarol
