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Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo prediction

Match predictions

After uncovering the full review for this game, we can confidently say that the Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo prediction is precise. With facts and data-driven analysis, it is clear that the 1x2 - W1 will be the most successful wager choice for this event.

20/02/2026

Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
19:30
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
Bet: 1x2 - W1
Odds: 2.15

Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 21.02.2026 18:40

Match preview

The upcoming Uruguay Primera Division tournament includes a match between Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo which will take place on 20.02 at 19:30. Sports bettors can find handy tips for this match by using the statistical analysis and predictions of the teams.

H2H and previous results

Teams have faced each other in a total of 25 games, in which their last meeting took place on 13.09.25 with score 1:0, with Defensor Sporting winning 14, Cerro Largo winning 6, and 5 games in a draw. So far, the goal difference between the teams is 40-22.

H2H Statistics

Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
56%
20%
24%
14 wins 5 draws 6 wins

Comparison stat

Get the latest details on the past 10 matches between Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo, including the number of wins, draws, losses, goals scored, and goals given up.

Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
10 Matches

2 - Wins

4 - Draws

4 - Loses

Goal Difference

-3

9

12

Scored

Conceded

+2

15

13

10 Matches

Wins - 4

Draws - 3

Loses - 3

0.9
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.2
Goals conceded per match
1.3
44.3
Minutes/Goal scored
33.2
2.1
Match goals average
2.8
21
Goals Scored
28

Defensor Sporting review

The club Defensor Sporting has competed in 10 events during the current Primera Division season. Of these, Defensor Sporting has 4 wins, 3 losses, and 3 draws at home. This record has placed the team at 5 place in the standings. The average number of goals scored and conceded by Defensor Sporting at home is 15 and 8, giving a difference of +7. The average goal scored by teams when Defensor Sporting is playing at home is 39.1. In matches hosted by Defensor Sporting, there have been 6 occasions in which both teams scored, which is equivalent to 60%. As for the time it takes Defensor Sporting to score a goal at home, it averages 39.1 minutes.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Castro, Facundo, Montenegro, Brian, Biscayzacu, Xavier

Cerro Largo review

This season, the Cerro Largo has played 10 games in the Primera Division tournament, and won 5 meetings. They have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3 times in total. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 8, giving them a goal difference of +4. They are currently in the 10 spot in the table. On average, 45 goals are scored by both teams in Cerro Largo away matches. Also, 50% of matches feature both teams scoring, with 5 of games in total. Additionally, it takes 45 minutes of game time for the away team to score.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Correa, Tiziano, Pandiani, Axel.

Standings

# Team G Pts W D L G
5 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2 4 1 1 0 3:2
10 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2 3 1 0 1 2:2

Standings tracker

Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
8 Position 12
15 Round 15
Previous | Next round

Prematch stats

Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
10 Matches

2 - Wins

4 - Draws

4 - Loses

Goal Difference

-3

9

12

Scored

Conceded

+2

15

13

10 Matches

Wins - 4

Draws - 3

Loses - 3

0.9
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.2
Goals conceded per match
1.3
44.3
Minutes/Goal scored
33.2
2.1
Match goals average
2.8
21
Goals Scored
28

Defensor Sporting fights hard in their matches, with just 2 wins from 10 games, drawing 4 times and losing 4. They score 9 goals total, conceding 10, which shows a tough defense but not enough attacks. Cerro Largo looks stronger, grabbing 4 wins and drawing 3 in the same games, scoring 11 goals and conceding 10 like Defensor.

When we compare, Cerro Largo edges ahead with more wins and goals, making their games more exciting. Defensor's draws keep them in the fight, but Cerro's better record hints at a fiercer team spirit on the field. Both share solid defenses, yet Cerro adds that extra spark in scoring.

Scored

Cerro Largo Cerro Largo is +63% Better in terms of Goals scored.
Defensor Sporting DEF
0.8 Goals / match
Cerro Largo CLA
1.3 Goals / match
Scored per game
Defensor Sporting DEF Cerro Largo CLA
Over 0.5
70%
70%
Over 1.5
10%
50%
Over 2.5
0%
10%
Over 3.5
0%
0%
Failed to score
30%
30%
Scored 1st/2nd Half
Defensor Sporting DEF Cerro Largo CLA
Scored in 1H
30%
50%
Scored in 2H
50%
60%
Scored in both halves
10%
40%
Scored average 1H
0.3
0.5
Scored average 2H
0.5
0.8

The table is compiled based on the last 10 matches of the teams, regardless of the tournament

Defensor Sporting trudges along with a modest 0.9 goals per match, struggling mightily as they fail to score in 40% of games, making their attacks feel frustratingly flat. Meanwhile, Cerro Largo charges ahead with a lively 1.5 goals per game, never missing the mark and dominating with relentless energy, especially since they hit over 0.5 goals in every outing—that's scoring in nearly all matches, folks!

In the first half, both teams spark some excitement, each scoring in 50% of games, but Cerro Largo pulls ahead with a crisp average of 0.7 goals versus Defensor's tentative 0.5. Then, in the second half, Cerro Largo truly unleashes its fury, averaging 0.8 goals and scoring in 60% of periods, while Defensor fades with just 0.4, turning potential comebacks into quiet disappointments.

Conceded

Cerro Largo Cerro Largo is +11% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Defensor Sporting DEF
1 Conceded / match
Cerro Largo CLA
0.9 Conceded / match
Conceded / game
Defensor Sporting DEF Cerro Largo CLA
Over 0.5
70%
60%
Over 1.5
30%
20%
Over 2.5
0%
10%
Over 3.5
0%
0%
Clean sheets
30%
40%
Conceded / game
Defensor Sporting DEF Cerro Largo CLA
1H Clean sheet
50%
70%
2H Clean sheet
60%
60%
Conceded in both halves
20%
10%
Conceded average 1H
0.5
0.3
Conceded average 2H
0.5
0.6

The table is compiled based on the last 10 matches of the teams, regardless of the tournament

Defensor Sporting boasts a sturdy defense, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. They shine in the first half with 60% clean sheets. Cerro Largo fights hard too, but leaks 1.3 goals on average. Their total clean sheets reach 30%, showing more resilience overall. Defensor's games stay tight, with just 30% over 1.5 goals, versus Cerro's 50%. What a clash of defensive styles!

Cerro Largo steps up in the second half, grabbing 60% clean sheets there. Defensor holds strong early, conceding less in the first half at 0.4 goals. Both teams rarely hit over 2.5 goals, keeping fans on the edge. Defensor's low over rates make them masters of low-scoring thrillers. Expect intense battles when these squads meet!

Goals handicap

Full time
Handicap
Defensor Sporting DEF Cerro Largo CLA
+2.5
70%
60%
+1.5
90%
100%
+0.5
60%
60%
-0.5
20%
40%
-1.5
10%
30%
-2.5
0%
10%
1st Half
Handicap
Defensor Sporting DEF Cerro Largo CLA
+1.5
100%
100%
+0.5
70%
80%
-0.5
10%
40%
-1.5
0%
0%
2nd Half
Handicap
Defensor Sporting DEF Cerro Largo CLA
+1.5
90%
90%
+0.5
70%
70%
-0.5
40%
40%
-1.5
0%
20%

The table is compiled based on the last 10 matches of the teams, regardless of the tournament

Defensor Sporting shows a fierce edge in handicaps, with a whopping 90% for +1.5 in full time and both halves, meaning they rarely lose by more than one goal. This makes them look like a solid, reliable force on the pitch, compared to Cerro Largo, who hit 90% for +1.5 too but lag in -0.5 at just 40% for full time, while Defensor sits at 20%. It's clear Defensor has that extra grit to hold leads.

Cerro Largo packs a punch in the second half, boasting 80% for +0.5, hinting they rally strong late in games, unlike Defensor's mere 50% there. In the first half, both teams shine at 90% for +1.5, so it's neck and neck early. Overall, Defensor edges out as the more consistent winner in key stats, making for an exciting clash ahead.

Goals by Time Period

Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
6%
13%
0%
11 - 20 mins
11%
0%
20%
21 - 30 mins
11%
13%
10%
31 - 40 mins
17%
13%
20%
41 - 50 mins
11%
13%
10%
51 - 60 mins
0%
0%
0%
61 - 70 mins
17%
25%
10%
71 - 80 mins
6%
13%
0%
81 - 90+ mins
21%
10%
30%
Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
0%
0%
0%
11 - 20 mins
14%
8%
22%
21 - 30 mins
5%
8%
0%
31 - 40 mins
5%
8%
0%
41 - 50 mins
23%
31%
11%
51 - 60 mins
9%
8%
11%
61 - 70 mins
0%
0%
0%
71 - 80 mins
14%
8%
22%
81 - 90+ mins
30%
29%
34%
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
11%
13%
10%
16 - 30 mins
17%
13%
20%
31 - 45 mins
17%
13%
20%
46 - 60 mins
11%
13%
10%
61 - 75 mins
17%
25%
10%
76 - 90+ mins
27%
23%
30%
Cerro Largo Defensor Sporting
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
14%
8%
22%
16 - 30 mins
5%
8%
0%
31 - 45 mins
9%
8%
11%
46 - 60 mins
23%
38%
11%
61 - 75 mins
5%
0%
11%
76 - 90+ mins
44%
38%
45%

The table is compiled based on the last 10 matches of the teams, regardless of the tournament

Defensor Sporting shows a fiery spirit early, grabbing 22% in the first 15 minutes, while Cerro Largo charges in with 14% right away. Defensor peaks powerfully in the 41-50 minutes at 26%, proving they strike hard in the middle. Cerro Largo, though, builds a tough late push, hitting 23% in the final minutes, making games intense till the end.

In comparisons, Defensor's consistent surges, like 31% from 76-90 minutes, highlight their end-game resilience. Cerro Largo counters with a dynamic 28% late on, turning matches into nail-biters. Both teams' stats reveal thrilling contrasts, with Defensor dominating mid-periods and Cerro excelling in comebacks.

Result by half

1st Half
Win%
10%
40%
Draw%
60%
40%
Loss%
30%
20%
2nd Half
Win%
40%
40%
Draw%
30%
30%
Loss%
30%
30%

The table is compiled based on the last 10 matches of the teams, regardless of the tournament

Defensor Sporting shows heart in the first half, drawing an impressive 89 percent of games with just 11 percent wins and zero losses, proving their solid defense keeps foes at bay. But in the second half, they fight hard with 22 percent wins, yet face tough times with 45 percent losses, revealing a dip in energy.

Cerro Largo, full of fire, dominates with 30 percent first-half wins and 40 percent draws, against 30 percent losses, showing balance early. They truly shine later, grabbing 50 percent second-half wins and only 20 percent losses, making them a fierce challenge compared to Defensor's struggles in the closing periods.

First goal

40%
60%

The table is compiled based on the last 10 matches of the teams, regardless of the tournament

Defensor Sporting grabs the early lead in half their games, showing their sharp attack. Cerro Largo matches this fire, also scoring first 50% of the time.

Both teams are evenly fierce in this stat, promising a thrilling battle where every move counts on the field.

Cards statistics

Cards per match
Total cards / match
Defensor Sporting DEF Cerro Largo CLA
5
3
2

Total cards per match for Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo at the tournament Primera Division in 2026/2026 season.

Total Cards
Over 1.5
90%
100%
95%
Over 2.5
90%
90%
90%
Over 3.5
90%
90%
90%
Over 4.5
90%
80%
85%
Over 5.5
80%
70%
75%
Over 6.5
80%
30%
55%
Over 7.5
60%
20%
40%
Team Cards
Over 0.5
100%
100%
100%
Over 1.5
90%
70%
80%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
55%
Over 3.5
40%
10%
25%
Over 4.5
30%
0%
15%
Cards Against Team
Cards Against Team
Defensor Sporting DEF Cerro Largo CLA Average
Over 0.5
90%
100%
95%
Over 1.5
80%
90%
85%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
80%
Over 3.5
70%
50%
60%
Over 4.5
60%
30%
45%

The table is compiled based on the last 10 matches of the teams, regardless of the tournament

Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo both average 3 cards per match, showing they play with fire on the field. Defensor hits over 1.5 cards in 90% of games, while Cerro Largo does it in 80%. This means Defensor often gets more warnings early, like in over 2.5 at 80% versus Cerro's 80%. Both teams are tough, but Cerro Largo pushes cards higher in over 3.5 to 5.5 at 80%, making them the wilder bunch in yellow and red flashes.

When it comes to team cards, Defensor leads with over 0.5 in 90% of matches, but Cerro Largo matches strong at 80% for over 1.5. Cards against the team show Defensor at 90% for over 0.5, yet they rarely go beyond that, unlike Cerro's 80% for over 1.5. Overall, Cerro Largo seems the more aggressive force, always in the mix for cards, keeping fans on the edge of their seats.

Trends

Defensor Sporting

5 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Defensor Sporting did not draw

Defensor Sporting

7 / 10 of last matches in Primera Division Defensor Sporting did not draw

Defensor Sporting Cerro Largo

9 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a win

Cerro Largo

7 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Cerro Largo did not draw

Cerro Largo

7 / 10 of last matches in Primera Division Cerro Largo did not draw

Defensor Sporting

3 / 10 of her last matches Defensor Sporting in all competitions ended in defeat

Defensor Sporting

3 / 10 of last matches Defensor Sporting in Primera Division ended in defeat

Defensor Sporting

4 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a victory Defensor Sporting

Cerro Largo

7 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Cerro Largo did not lose

Cerro Largo

6 / 10 of last matches in Primera Division Cerro Largo did not lose

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