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Stoke City - Middlesbrough prediction

Match predictions

By examining the details using statistical and analytical methods, we have determined that the Both team to score - No is the best potential outcome for the Stoke City versus Middlesbrough matchup. With a comprehensive review of the match already completed, our predictions are reliable.

21/01/2026

Stoke City Stoke City
15:00
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Bet: Both team to score - No
Odds: 2.00

Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 21.01.2026 18:40

Match preview

The match between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, as part of the Championship (England), is scheduled for 21.01 at 15:00. Betting enthusiasts can use the following analysis of teams' statistics and prediction to gain detailed insight into their betting decisions for the match.

H2H and previous results

Overall, teams have faced each other in a total of 26 games. The last game between the two teams was on 30.09.25, and Stoke City emerged as the victor with a score of 0:0. Out of all the games, Stoke City won 9, Middlesbrough won 10, and the two teams tied in 7. In terms of total goals, Stoke City has 30-29 more goals than Middlesbrough.

H2H Statistics

Stoke City Stoke City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
35%
27%
38%
9 wins 7 draws 10 wins

Comparison stat

You can learn about the last 10 games between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including the wins, losses, draws, and the number of goals each team scored and allowed.

Stoke City Stoke City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
10 Matches

4 - Wins

2 - Draws

4 - Loses

Goal Difference

-2

7

9

Scored

Conceded

+5

17

12

10 Matches

Wins - 5

Draws - 1

Loses - 4

0.7
Goals scored per match
1.7
0.9
Goals conceded per match
1.2
56.3
Minutes/Goal scored
31
1.6
Match goals average
2.9
16
Goals Scored
29

Stoke City review

The club Stoke City has competed in 10 events during the current Championship season. Of these, Stoke City has 3 wins, 5 losses, and 2 draws at home. This record has placed the team at 7 place in the standings. The average number of goals scored and conceded by Stoke City at home is 14 and 8, giving a difference of +6. The average goal scored by teams when Stoke City is playing at home is 40.9. In matches hosted by Stoke City, there have been 5 occasions in which both teams scored, which is equivalent to 50%. As for the time it takes Stoke City to score a goal at home, it averages 40.9 minutes.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Thomas, Sorba, Mubama, Divin, Manhoef, Million, Baker, Lewis, Lawal, Bosun, Tchamadeu, Junior, Nzonzi, Steven, Joon-ho, Bae, Pearson, Ben, Wilmot, Ben, Bozenik, Robert, Gallagher, Sam

Middlesbrough review

This season, the Middlesbrough has played 10 games in the Championship tournament, and won 4 meetings. They have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1 times in total. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 13, giving them a goal difference of -1. They are currently in the 2 spot in the table. On average, 36 goals are scored by both teams in Middlesbrough away matches. Also, 50% of matches feature both teams scoring, with 5 of games in total. Additionally, it takes 36 minutes of game time for the away team to score.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Whittaker, Morgan, Hackney, Hayden, Conway, Tommy, Strelec, David, Fry, Dael, Burgzorg, Delano, Targett, Matt, Sene, Mamadou Kaly, McGree, Riley, Silvera, Sam, Jones, Alfie, Hansen, Sontje, Ayling, Luke, Gilbert, Alexander, Browne, Alan.

Standings

# Team G Pts W D L G
2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 27 49 14 7 6 40:28
7 Stoke City Stoke City 27 41 12 5 10 32:23

Standings tracker

Stoke City Stoke City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
17 Position 5
46 Round 46
Previous | Next round

Prematch stats

Stoke City Stoke City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
10 Matches

4 - Wins

2 - Draws

4 - Loses

Goal Difference

-2

7

9

Scored

Conceded

+5

17

12

10 Matches

Wins - 5

Draws - 1

Loses - 4

0.7
Goals scored per match
1.7
0.9
Goals conceded per match
1.2
56.3
Minutes/Goal scored
31
1.6
Match goals average
2.9
16
Goals Scored
29

Stoke City, the resilient Potters, have battled through 27 matches with 12 hard-fought wins and just 5 draws, showcasing their defensive steel by conceding only 23 goals while netting 32. In contrast, Middlesbrough's dynamic Boro squad surges ahead with 14 victories and 7 stalemates, firing in 40 goals but leaking 28, revealing a more adventurous yet vulnerable style that keeps fans on the edge of their seats.

While both teams share the same number of games, Middlesbrough's edge in wins and goals scored paints them as the more prolific attackers, averaging over 1.48 goals per match compared to Stoke's 1.19, though their 1.04 conceded per game versus Stoke's 0.85 hints at defensive wobbles. This comparison underscores Boro's thrilling push for dominance against the Potters' gritty resolve, making every encounter a captivating clash on the pitch.

Scored

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough is +24% Better in terms of Goals scored.
Stoke City STK
1.19 Goals / match
Middlesbrough MID
1.48 Goals / match
Scored per game
Stoke City STK Middlesbrough MID
Over 0.5
63%
74%
Over 1.5
30%
48%
Over 2.5
19%
19%
Over 3.5
4%
7%
Failed to score
37%
26%
Scored 1st/2nd Half
Stoke City STK Middlesbrough MID
Scored in 1H
33%
37%
Scored in 2H
44%
56%
Scored in both halves
15%
19%
Scored average 1H
0.52
0.63
Scored average 2H
0.67
0.85

Statistics of Stoke City matches and Middlesbrough matches within the tournament Championship.

When it comes to the gritty Championship grind, Middlesbrough edges out Stoke City with a fiercer attacking flair, boasting 1.48 goals per match compared to Stoke's modest 1.19. Their games burst with more action too; Middlesbrough hits over 0.5 goals in 74 outings, while Stoke manages only 63, and they fail to score less often at 26 versus Stoke's disappointing 37. This resilience lets Middlesbrough dominate halves, scoring in the second with an average of 0.85, painting them as the more dynamic side.

Stoke, however, shows flashes of spirit, netting in the second half more frequently than in the first at 0.67 average goals, but they rarely explode into high-scoring affairs, with over 2.5 goals in just 19 games. Middlesbrough mirrors that in over 2.5 but pulls ahead in consistency, scoring in both halves 19 times against Stoke's 15. Ultimately, fans might cheer louder for Middlesbrough's relentless push, making every match a thrilling duel of wills and strikes.

Conceded

Stoke City Stoke City is +22% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Stoke City STK
0.85 Conceded / match
Middlesbrough MID
1.04 Conceded / match
Conceded / game
Stoke City STK Middlesbrough MID
Over 0.5
59%
74%
Over 1.5
19%
19%
Over 2.5
4%
7%
Over 3.5
4%
4%
Clean sheets
41%
26%
Conceded / game
Stoke City STK Middlesbrough MID
1H Clean sheet
78%
59%
2H Clean sheet
59%
52%
Conceded in both halves
4%
15%
Conceded average 1H
0.37
0.48
Conceded average 2H
0.48
0.56

Statistics of Stoke City matches and Middlesbrough matches within the tournament Championship.

Stoke City's defenders stand as unyielding guardians, conceding just 0.85 goals per match, a stark contrast to Middlesbrough's more porous defense at 1.04. This resilience shines in their 41% clean sheets—those games where they don't let a single goal slip through—towering over Boro's mere 26%, painting the Potters as defensive titans while the Riverside outfit scrambles to keep pace.

In the first half, Stoke's backline locks down with an impressive 78% clean sheets, far outpacing Middlesbrough's 59%, showing early dominance. As matches unfold, Stoke maintains 59% clean sheets in the second half against Boro's 52%, proving their steadfast resolve makes them the grittier, more formidable force on the field, ready to stifle attacks with sheer determination.

Goals handicap

Full time
Handicap
Stoke City STK Middlesbrough MID
+2.5
67%
85%
+1.5
93%
89%
+0.5
63%
78%
-0.5
44%
52%
-1.5
22%
15%
-2.5
15%
11%
1st Half
Handicap
Stoke City STK Middlesbrough MID
+1.5
89%
96%
+0.5
78%
63%
-0.5
33%
33%
-1.5
11%
15%
2nd Half
Handicap
Stoke City STK Middlesbrough MID
+1.5
96%
100%
+0.5
78%
74%
-0.5
33%
33%
-1.5
11%
11%

Diving into the gritty world of football handicaps, Stoke City shows a resilient spirit with a whopping 93% success on the +1.5 full-time handicap, meaning they're often keeping games close despite challenges. Yet, their defense wavers at just 22% for the -1.5, painting them as underdogs who fight hard but seldom dominate. Middlesbrough, however, radiates a fiercer edge, nailing 89% on that same +1.5 and an impressive 100% in the second half's +1.5, suggesting they surge late to cover spreads and leave opponents reeling.

Comparing these titans, Middlesbrough's 85% on +2.5 full-time outshines Stoke's 67%, highlighting their ability to stay in the game even as underdogs, while Stoke's 78% first-half +0.5 shows early tenacity that fades. It's a thrilling clash where Middlesbrough's consistent surge contrasts Stoke's fluctuating energy, making every match a unpredictable battle of wills on the pitch.

Goals by Time Period

Stoke City Stoke City
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
9%
13%
4%
11 - 20 mins
9%
6%
13%
21 - 30 mins
11%
9%
13%
31 - 40 mins
7%
13%
0%
41 - 50 mins
20%
22%
22%
51 - 60 mins
4%
3%
4%
61 - 70 mins
9%
13%
4%
71 - 80 mins
15%
13%
22%
81 - 90+ mins
16%
8%
18%
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
6%
5%
7%
11 - 20 mins
9%
3%
18%
21 - 30 mins
7%
3%
14%
31 - 40 mins
10%
15%
4%
41 - 50 mins
16%
23%
7%
51 - 60 mins
9%
15%
0%
61 - 70 mins
10%
10%
11%
71 - 80 mins
12%
10%
14%
81 - 90+ mins
21%
16%
25%
Stoke City Stoke City
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
16%
16%
17%
16 - 30 mins
13%
13%
13%
31 - 45 mins
15%
16%
13%
46 - 60 mins
18%
22%
13%
61 - 75 mins
13%
19%
9%
76 - 90+ mins
25%
14%
35%
Middlesbrough Stoke City
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
10%
5%
18%
16 - 30 mins
10%
5%
21%
31 - 45 mins
15%
23%
4%
46 - 60 mins
21%
30%
7%
61 - 75 mins
15%
13%
18%
76 - 90+ mins
29%
24%
32%

Stoke City, with their gritty determination, often spark to life in the middle of the match, scoring a whopping 20% of their efforts between 41-50 minutes, while Middlesbrough counters with a more explosive late push, nailing 21% in the frantic 81-90+ stretch. This contrast highlights Stoke's resilient heart, peaking at 25% in the 76-90 period during some games, against Middlesbrough's tenacious finishers who dominate with 29% in that same intense zone, making for thrilling tactical battles where every minute counts on the pitch.

Early on, Stoke shows flashes of speed with 16% in the opening 15 minutes, but Middlesbrough sometimes lags, hitting just 5% in one outing, yet they rally fiercely later. In the 46-60 zone, Stoke's dynamic 22% drive contrasts Middlesbrough's commanding 30%, proving these teams' unpredictable styles keep fans gripped, as one side's midfield magic clashes with the other's end-game heroics, turning ordinary matches into edge-of-the-seat dramas.

Result by half

1st Half
Win%
33%
33%
Draw%
44%
30%
Loss%
23%
37%
2nd Half
Win%
33%
33%
Draw%
44%
41%
Loss%
23%
26%

Diving into the gritty world of football, Stoke City emerges as the resilient battlers, holding firm with a steady 33% win rate in both halves, paired with an impressive 44% draws that scream defensive tenacity and unyielding spirit. In contrast, Middlesbrough displays a more fluctuating energy, matching that 33% first-half win but stumbling to 37% losses, while ramping up to 41% draws in the second half, hinting at a team's fierce comeback potential that keeps fans on the edge of their seats.

Picture this: Stoke's mirror-image consistency across halves paints them as the unflappable giants, drawing games with bulldog determination to grind out results. Yet, Middlesbrough's slight edge in second-half draws suggests a dynamic shift, where they claw back from early deficits, turning potential defeats into thrilling draws that embody the heart-pounding drama of the beautiful game, making every match a test of true grit.

First goal

48%
48%

Statistics on the percentage of matches, where Stoke City and Middlesbrough scored first in the Championship of the 2025/2026 season

Stoke City and Middlesbrough both thunder into matches with a fierce 48% rate of scoring first, showcasing their equal grit in claiming early dominance. While one might expect a clash of styles, this shared edge reveals resilient teams ready to seize the game's pulse from kick-off, making every opening whistle a battle of wills.

Cards statistics

Cards per match
Total cards / match
Stoke City STK Middlesbrough MID
4
2
2

Total cards per match for Stoke City and Middlesbrough at the tournament Championship in 2025/2026 season.

Total Cards
Over 1.5
96%
81%
88%
Over 2.5
78%
70%
74%
Over 3.5
44%
59%
51%
Over 4.5
37%
37%
37%
Over 5.5
30%
15%
22%
Over 6.5
15%
15%
15%
Over 7.5
11%
11%
11%
Team Cards
Over 0.5
89%
70%
79%
Over 1.5
67%
44%
55%
Over 2.5
41%
26%
33%
Over 3.5
7%
7%
7%
Over 4.5
4%
7%
5%
Cards Against Team
Cards Against Team
Stoke City STK Middlesbrough MID Average
Over 0.5
85%
81%
83%
Over 1.5
52%
70%
61%
Over 2.5
30%
37%
33%
Over 3.5
15%
22%
18%
Over 4.5
7%
11%
9%

When it comes to the fiery world of football cards—those yellow and red warnings for rough play—Stoke City stands out as the more aggressive bunch. With an average of 2 cards per match and a whopping 96% chance of over 1.5 cards, they're quick to tangle, hitting 78% for over 2.5, compared to Middlesbrough's steadier 81% and 70%. This makes Stoke the bolder warriors on the pitch, while Middlesbrough plays with a touch more discipline, though both teams see plenty of referee action in heated battles.

Diving deeper, Stoke's team cards reveal their feisty spirit, soaring to 89% for over 0.5 and 67% for over 1.5, painting them as repeat offenders in the chaos. Middlesbrough, in contrast, keeps it tighter at 70% and 44%, showing restraint. Yet, when cards fly against them, Middlesbrough faces more flak, with 70% for over 1.5, versus Stoke's 52%, highlighting how these rivals flip the script in every intense clash—Stoke dishing out the thunder, Middlesbrough weathering the storm with grit.

Trends

Stoke City

4 / 10 of her last matches Stoke City in all competitions ended in defeat

Stoke City

5 / 10 of last matches Stoke City in Championship ended in defeat

Middlesbrough

5 / 10 of last matches Middlesbrough in all tournaments ended with her victory

Middlesbrough

6 / 10 of last matches Middlesbrough in Championship ended with her victory

Middlesbrough

3 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in victory Middlesbrough

Stoke City

4 / 10 of last matches Stoke City in all tournaments ended with her victory

Stoke City

3 / 10 of last matches Stoke City in Championship ended with her victory

Stoke City

3 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in victory Stoke City

Middlesbrough

4 / 10 of her last matches Middlesbrough in all competitions ended in defeat

Middlesbrough

3 / 10 of last matches Middlesbrough in Championship ended in defeat

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