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Southampton - Middlesbrough prediction
Match predictions
By examining the details using statistical and analytical methods, we have determined that the 1x2 - W1 is the best potential outcome for the Southampton versus Middlesbrough matchup. With a comprehensive review of the match already completed, our predictions are reliable.
Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 12.05.2026 19:40
Match preview
The Southampton vs Middlesbrough match in the England Championship is set to begin on 12.05 at 15:00. For those interested in sports betting, they can use in-depth Southampton Middlesbrough betting tips by analyzing the statistics and making a prediction for the match.
H2H and previous results
Teams have faced each other in a total of 27 games, in which their last meeting took place on 09.05.26 with score 0:0, with Southampton winning 9, Middlesbrough winning 8, and 10 games in a draw. So far, the goal difference between the teams is 37-36.
H2H Statistics
Southampton
Middlesbrough
![Middlesbrough]()
9 wins
10 draws
8 wins
Comparison stat
Get the latest details on the past 10 matches between Southampton and Middlesbrough, including the number of wins, draws, losses, goals scored, and goals given up.
Southampton
Middlesbrough
![Middlesbrough]()
General
Attack
Passing
Defending
Discipline
10
Matches
6 - Wins
3 - Draws
1 - Loses
Goal Difference
+11
22
11
Scored
Conceded
+3
14
11
10
Matches
Wins - 2
Draws - 6
Loses - 2
10.24
1.02
Expected goals (xG)
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
2.03
20.32
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
2.3
Big chances
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
3.6
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
Stats are shown as averages per match.
Southampton review
This season, Southampton has played 10 times in the Championship. They have earned 7 wins, 0 losses, and 3 draws at home, with 7 victories. The team is currently in 4 place in the standings. On average, they score 20 and concede 6 goals, making their goal difference +14. When playing at their home stadium, Southampton usually scores 34.6 goals per game, and 4 of their matches have seen both teams score, which is 40%. It typically takes them 34.6 minutes to score a goal at home.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Azaz, Finn, Armstrong, Adam, Manning, Ryan, Stewart, Ross, Larin, Cyle, Harwood-Bellis, Taylor, Scienza, Leo, Archer, Cameron, Bree, James, Matsuki, Kuryu, Downes, Flynn, Charles, Shea, Stephens, Jack, Robinson, Jay, Jander, Caspar, Wood, Nathan
Middlesbrough review
In this season's Championship tournament, the Middlesbrough played 10 games. Out of these away matches, the club won 5, in total winning 2, losing 2 and drawing 6. Middlesbrough scored 21 goals and conceded 14, resulting in a goal difference of +7. The team is currently in the 5 position in the table. On average, 25.7 goals are scored in each of Middlesbrough's away matches. In 8 matches both teams scored, which is 80%. Middlesbrough players take approximately 25.7 minutes to score away.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Whittaker, Morgan, Conway, Tommy, Strelec, David, Hackney, Hayden, McGree, Riley, Targett, Matt, Browne, Alan, Fry, Dael, Sene, Mamadou Kaly, Silvera, Sam, Jones, Alfie, Hansen, Sontje, Ayling, Luke, Gilbert, Alexander, Castledine, Leo, Bangura, Alex.
Standings
| # | Team | G | Pts | W | D | L | G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Southampton
|
46 | 80 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 |
| 5 |
Middlesbrough
|
46 | 80 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 |
Standings tracker
Southampton
Middlesbrough
![Middlesbrough]()
4
Position
5
46
Round
46
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Southampton
DRAW
Middlesbrough
Will both teams score?
YES
50%
NO
50%
Who will score first?
Southampton
No goal
34%
Middlesbrough
Prematch stats
Southampton
Middlesbrough
![Middlesbrough]()
General
Attack
Passing
Defending
Discipline
10
Matches
6 - Wins
3 - Draws
1 - Loses
Goal Difference
+11
22
11
Scored
Conceded
+3
14
11
10
Matches
Wins - 2
Draws - 6
Loses - 2
10.24
1.02
Expected goals (xG)
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
2.03
20.32
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
2.3
Big chances
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
3.6
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
Stats are shown as averages per match.
Scored
Full time
1st Half / 2nd Half
Over 0.5
87%
74%
Over 1.5
49%
47%
Over 2.5
23%
19%
Over 3.5
9%
11%
Failed to score
13%
26%
Statistics of Southampton matches and Middlesbrough matches within the tournament Championship.
Conceded
Middlesbrough is +19% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Full time
1st Half / 2nd Half
Over 0.5
74%
70%
Over 1.5
32%
21%
Over 2.5
11%
6%
Over 3.5
2%
2%
Clean sheets
26%
30%
Statistics of Southampton matches and Middlesbrough matches within the tournament Championship.
Goals handicap
Full time
1st Half
2nd Half
Goals by Time Period
10 mins
15 mins
Southampton
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
7%
7%
5%
11 - 20 mins
9%
15%
2%
21 - 30 mins
13%
13%
14%
31 - 40 mins
4%
2%
9%
41 - 50 mins
11%
11%
13%
51 - 60 mins
13%
16%
11%
61 - 70 mins
11%
7%
16%
71 - 80 mins
11%
10%
14%
81 - 90+ mins
21%
19%
16%
Middlesbrough
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
6%
7%
4%
11 - 20 mins
11%
8%
15%
21 - 30 mins
11%
8%
15%
31 - 40 mins
7%
8%
4%
41 - 50 mins
16%
21%
13%
51 - 60 mins
10%
13%
6%
61 - 70 mins
10%
13%
6%
71 - 80 mins
11%
10%
13%
81 - 90+ mins
18%
12%
24%
Southampton
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
12%
16%
7%
16 - 30 mins
16%
20%
14%
31 - 45 mins
8%
6%
13%
46 - 60 mins
19%
23%
20%
61 - 75 mins
16%
15%
21%
76 - 90+ mins
29%
20%
25%
Southampton
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
11%
11%
11%
16 - 30 mins
16%
13%
23%
31 - 45 mins
11%
15%
6%
46 - 60 mins
22%
26%
17%
61 - 75 mins
14%
15%
15%
76 - 90+ mins
26%
20%
28%
Result by half
1st Half
2nd Half
First goal
Statistics on the percentage of matches, where Southampton and Middlesbrough scored first in the Championship of the 2025/2026 season
Cards statistics
Cards per match
Total cards per match for Southampton and Middlesbrough at the tournament Championship in 2025/2026 season.
Total Cards
Team Cards
Cards Against Team
Trends
1 / 10 of her last matches Southampton in all competitions ended in defeat
3 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a victory Southampton
8 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Middlesbrough did not lose
8 / 10 of last matches in Championship Middlesbrough did not lose
9 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Southampton did not lose
10 / 10 of last matches in Championship Southampton did not lose
4 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a victory Middlesbrough
2 / 10 of last matches Southampton in all competitions, at least one team did not score
