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Metz - Lorient prediction

Ligue 1

Ligue 1

Round 33
Sun 10 May 2026 - 15:00
Finished
0
4

Match predictions

By examining the details using statistical and analytical methods, we have determined that the 1x2 - W2 is the best potential outcome for the Metz versus Lorient matchup. With a comprehensive review of the match already completed, our predictions are reliable.

10/05/2026

Metz Metz
15:00
Lorient Lorient
Bet: 1x2 - W2
Odds: 2.16

Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 10.05.2026 19:44

Match preview

The upcoming France Ligue 1 tournament includes a match between Metz and Lorient which will take place on 10.05 at 15:00. Sports bettors can find handy tips for this match by using the statistical analysis and predictions of the teams.

H2H and previous results

Overall, teams have faced each other in a total of 24 games. The last game between the two teams was on 04.01.26, and Metz emerged as the victor with a score of 1:1. Out of all the games, Metz won 6, Lorient won 11, and the two teams tied in 7. In terms of total goals, Metz has 28-39 more goals than Lorient.

H2H Statistics

Metz Metz
Lorient Lorient
25%
29%
46%
6 wins 7 draws 11 wins

Comparison stat

Get the latest details on the past 10 matches between Metz and Lorient, including the number of wins, draws, losses, goals scored, and goals given up.

Metz Metz
Lorient Lorient
General
Attack
Passing
Defending
Discipline
10 Matches

0 - Wins

3 - Draws

7 - Loses

Goal Difference

-13

10

23

Scored

Conceded

-1

12

13

10 Matches

Wins - 2

Draws - 5

Loses - 3

50% 5/10
Both team to score
6/10 60%
48%
Ball possession
44%
10 1
Goals scored per match
1.2 12
9.62 0.96
Expected goals (xG) stat-tooltip-icon Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored. per match
1.06 10.59
23 2.3
Goals conceded per match
1.3 13
16.58 1.66
Expected goals conceded (xCG) per match
1.15 11.5
1.7
Big chances stat-tooltip-icon Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
1.8
11.4
Total shots
9.6
Shots on goal / off goal
5.1 off goal 4.2
3.2 on goal 3.5
7.3
Shots inside box
5.9
3.9
Shots outside box
3.7
17.8
Touches in the opposition box
13.7
1.5
Offsides TOTAL 2.9
1.4
4.7
Corners TOTAL 7.9
3.2
85% 357.1/419
Passes
328.8/389.1 85%
51% 24.2/47.5
Long Passes
24.2/46.9 52%
75% 78.3/103.9
Passes in final third
51.5/75.2 68%
29% 5.5/19.2
Crosses
4.1/14 29%
47.4
Duels won
42.4
10.4
Tackles
8.5
21.4
Clearances
30.4
10.1
Interceptions
8.6
11.8
Fouls TOTAL 20.4
8.6
1.6
Yellow Cards TOTAL 3
1.4
0.5
Errors resulting to shot
0.6
0.1
Errors resulting to goal
0.1
Stats are shown as averages per match.

Metz review

So far this season, the Metz has played 10 matches, with 0 wins, 7 losses, and 3 draws. At home, they have 0 wins. This record has put the team in 18 place in the league. Metz has scored 10 goals and conceded 22 on average per match at their home stadium, making their goal difference -12. The average number of goals they have scored in their home matches is 28.1. Also, 60% of their home games have seen both teams score 6, and it takes Metz 28.1 minutes on average to score a goal in their matches at home.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Hein, Gauthier, Diallo, Habib, Tsitaishvili, Georgiy, Sane, Sadibou, Abuashvili, Giorgi, Deminguet, Jessy, Kouao, Koffi, Mbala, Nathan, Kvilitaia, Giorgi, Traore, Boubacar, Gbamin, Jean-Philippe, Sane, Ibou, Pandore, Jahyann

Lorient review

In this season's Ligue 1 tournament, the Lorient played 10 games. Out of these away matches, the club won 2, in total winning 2, losing 3 and drawing 5. Lorient scored 12 goals and conceded 13, resulting in a goal difference of -1. The team is currently in the 9 position in the table. On average, 36 goals are scored in each of Lorient's away matches. In 5 matches both teams scored, which is 50%. Lorient players take approximately 36 minutes to score away.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Pagis, Pablo, Dieng, Bamba, Aiyegun, Tosin, Soumano, Sambou, Makengo, Jean-Victor, Le Bris, Theo, Kouassi, Arsene, Cadiou, Noah, Mohamed, Bamba, Silva, Igor, Abergel, Laurent, Dermane, Karim, Ebong, Arthur Avom, Katseris, Panos.

Standings

# Team G Pts W D L G
9 Lorient Lorient 32 42 10 12 10 44:49
18 Metz Metz 32 16 3 7 22 32:72

Standings tracker

Metz Metz
Lorient Lorient
18 Position 9
34 Round 34
Previous | Next round

Prematch stats

Metz Metz
Lorient Lorient
General
Attack
Passing
Defending
Discipline
10 Matches

0 - Wins

3 - Draws

7 - Loses

Goal Difference

-13

10

23

Scored

Conceded

-1

12

13

10 Matches

Wins - 2

Draws - 5

Loses - 3

50% 5/10
Both team to score
6/10 60%
48%
Ball possession
44%
10 1
Goals scored per match
1.2 12
9.62 0.96
Expected goals (xG) stat-tooltip-icon Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored. per match
1.06 10.59
23 2.3
Goals conceded per match
1.3 13
16.58 1.66
Expected goals conceded (xCG) per match
1.15 11.5
1.7
Big chances stat-tooltip-icon Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
1.8
11.4
Total shots
9.6
Shots on goal / off goal
5.1 off goal 4.2
3.2 on goal 3.5
7.3
Shots inside box
5.9
3.9
Shots outside box
3.7
17.8
Touches in the opposition box
13.7
1.5
Offsides TOTAL 2.9
1.4
4.7
Corners TOTAL 7.9
3.2
85% 357.1/419
Passes
328.8/389.1 85%
51% 24.2/47.5
Long Passes
24.2/46.9 52%
75% 78.3/103.9
Passes in final third
51.5/75.2 68%
29% 5.5/19.2
Crosses
4.1/14 29%
47.4
Duels won
42.4
10.4
Tackles
8.5
21.4
Clearances
30.4
10.1
Interceptions
8.6
11.8
Fouls TOTAL 20.4
8.6
1.6
Yellow Cards TOTAL 3
1.4
0.5
Errors resulting to shot
0.6
0.1
Errors resulting to goal
0.1
Stats are shown as averages per match.

Scored

Lorient Lorient is +38% Better in terms of Goals scored.
Metz FCM
1 Goals / match
Lorient FCL
1.38 Goals / match
Scored per game
Metz FCM Lorient FCL
Over 0.5
59%
72%
Over 1.5
31%
44%
Over 2.5
6%
19%
Over 3.5
3%
3%
Failed to score
41%
28%
Scored 1st/2nd Half
Metz FCM Lorient FCL
Scored in 1H
38%
53%
Scored in 2H
44%
56%
Scored in both halves
22%
38%
Scored average 1H
0.44
0.59
Scored average 2H
0.56
0.78

Statistics of Metz matches and Lorient matches within the tournament Ligue 1.

Conceded

Lorient Lorient is +47% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Metz FCM
2.25 Conceded / match
Lorient FCL
1.53 Conceded / match
Conceded / game
Metz FCM Lorient FCL
Over 0.5
81%
81%
Over 1.5
59%
38%
Over 2.5
53%
19%
Over 3.5
19%
6%
Clean sheets
19%
19%
Conceded / game
Metz FCM Lorient FCL
1H Clean sheet
38%
69%
2H Clean sheet
31%
31%
Conceded in both halves
50%
19%
Conceded average 1H
1.03
0.5
Conceded average 2H
1.22
1.03

Statistics of Metz matches and Lorient matches within the tournament Ligue 1.

Goals handicap

Full time
Handicap
Metz FCM Lorient FCL
+2.5
44%
81%
+1.5
63%
78%
+0.5
31%
69%
-0.5
9%
31%
-1.5
6%
22%
-2.5
0%
3%
1st Half
Handicap
Metz FCM Lorient FCL
+1.5
84%
94%
+0.5
53%
78%
-0.5
6%
41%
-1.5
0%
0%
2nd Half
Handicap
Metz FCM Lorient FCL
+1.5
81%
84%
+0.5
44%
63%
-0.5
9%
31%
-1.5
9%
6%

Goals by Time Period

Metz Metz
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
7%
6%
10%
11 - 20 mins
8%
6%
8%
21 - 30 mins
9%
9%
8%
31 - 40 mins
11%
13%
11%
41 - 50 mins
13%
16%
14%
51 - 60 mins
6%
9%
7%
61 - 70 mins
10%
6%
11%
71 - 80 mins
6%
3%
7%
81 - 90+ mins
30%
32%
24%
Lorient Lorient
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
6%
7%
6%
11 - 20 mins
8%
7%
8%
21 - 30 mins
8%
9%
8%
31 - 40 mins
6%
7%
6%
41 - 50 mins
14%
16%
14%
51 - 60 mins
14%
16%
12%
61 - 70 mins
11%
14%
8%
71 - 80 mins
11%
9%
12%
81 - 90+ mins
22%
15%
26%
Metz Metz
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
13%
13%
17%
16 - 30 mins
10%
9%
10%
31 - 45 mins
12%
16%
14%
46 - 60 mins
15%
22%
18%
61 - 75 mins
11%
6%
13%
76 - 90+ mins
39%
34%
28%
Lorient Metz
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
10%
9%
12%
16 - 30 mins
11%
14%
10%
31 - 45 mins
10%
11%
8%
46 - 60 mins
23%
27%
24%
61 - 75 mins
14%
16%
12%
76 - 90+ mins
32%
23%
34%

Result by half

1st Half
Win%
6%
41%
Draw%
47%
38%
Loss%
47%
21%
2nd Half
Win%
9%
31%
Draw%
34%
31%
Loss%
57%
38%

First goal

22%
47%

Statistics on the percentage of matches, where Metz and Lorient scored first in the Ligue 1 of the 2025/2026 season

Cards statistics

Cards per match
Total cards / match
Metz FCM Lorient FCL
4
2
2

Total cards per match for Metz and Lorient at the tournament Ligue 1 in 2025/2026 season.

Total Cards
Over 1.5
78%
84%
81%
Over 2.5
66%
69%
67%
Over 3.5
44%
56%
50%
Over 4.5
25%
44%
34%
Over 5.5
9%
22%
15%
Over 6.5
3%
16%
9%
Over 7.5
0%
9%
4%
Team Cards
Over 0.5
78%
69%
73%
Over 1.5
66%
44%
55%
Over 2.5
19%
25%
22%
Over 3.5
6%
13%
9%
Over 4.5
3%
6%
4%
Cards Against Team
Cards Against Team
Metz FCM Lorient FCL Average
Over 0.5
78%
91%
84%
Over 1.5
47%
78%
62%
Over 2.5
16%
47%
31%
Over 3.5
3%
25%
14%
Over 4.5
0%
9%
4%

Trends

Metz

5 / 10 of last matches Metz in all competitions, at least one team did not score

Metz

5 / 10 of last matches Metz in Ligue 1, at least one team has not scored

Metz Lorient

2 / 10 of the last matches between the teams, at least one of the teams did not score

Lorient

4 / 10 of last matches Lorient in all competitions, at least one team did not score

Lorient

3 / 10 of last matches Lorient in Ligue 1, at least one team has not scored

Metz

4 / 10 of the last matches Metz in all tournaments ended with a loss in the 2nd half

Metz

4 / 10 of the last matches Metz in Ligue 1 ended with its defeat in the 2nd half

Lorient

2 / 10 of the last matches Lorient in all tournaments ended with its victory in the 2nd half

Lorient

3 / 10 of the last matches Lorient in Ligue 1 ended with its victory in the 2nd half

Lorient

4 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended with a victory Lorient in the 2nd half

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