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1. Koln - 1. FSV Mainz 05 prediction

Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Round 18
Sat 17 Jan 2026 - 09:30
Finished
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1. Koln vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
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16/01/26, 09:40 | Flores Francesco

Match predictions

After discovering the full review of the match, our accurate 1. Koln vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 predictions are based on statistical analysis and it is evident that Double chance - X2 is the best choice for this game.

17/01/2026

1. Koln 1. Koln
09:30
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
Bet: Double chance - X2
Odds: 1.68

Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 17.01.2026 18:41

Match preview

The match between 1. Koln and 1. FSV Mainz 05, as part of the Bundesliga (Germany), is scheduled for 17.01 at 09:30. Betting enthusiasts can use the following analysis of teams' statistics and prediction to gain detailed insight into their betting decisions for the match.

H2H and previous results

Overall, teams have faced each other in a total of 40 games. The last game between the two teams was on 24.08.25, and 1. Koln emerged as the victor with a score of 0:1. Out of all the games, 1. Koln won 14, 1. FSV Mainz 05 won 13, and the two teams tied in 13. In terms of total goals, 1. Koln has 47-55 more goals than 1. FSV Mainz 05.

H2H Statistics

1. Koln 1. Koln
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
35%
33%
32%
14 wins 13 draws 13 wins

Comparison stat

You can learn about the last 10 games between 1. Koln and 1. FSV Mainz 05, including the wins, losses, draws, and the number of goals each team scored and allowed.

1. Koln 1. Koln
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
10 Matches

2 - Wins

3 - Draws

5 - Loses

Goal Difference

-4

15

19

Scored

Conceded

-3

10

13

10 Matches

Wins - 2

Draws - 5

Loses - 3

1.5
Goals scored per match
1
1.9
Goals conceded per match
1.3
26.5
Minutes/Goal scored
39.1
3.4
Match goals average
2.3
34
Goals Scored
23

1. Koln review

This season, 1. Koln has played 10 times in the Bundesliga. They have earned 1 wins, 6 losses, and 3 draws at home, with 2 victories. The team is currently in 12 place in the standings. On average, they score 15 and concede 14 goals, making their goal difference +1. When playing at their home stadium, 1. Koln usually scores 24.8 goals per game, and 7 of their matches have seen both teams score, which is 88%. It typically takes them 24.8 minutes to score a goal at home.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: El Mala, Said, Kaminski, Jakub, Bulter, Marius, Waldschmidt, Luca, Thielmann, Jan Uwe, Johanneson, Isak Bergmann, Kainz, Florian, Ache, Ragnar, Martel, Eric, Maina, Linton

1. FSV Mainz 05 review

This season, the 1. FSV Mainz 05 played 10 games in the Bundesliga tournament, winning 2 away matches and 1, losing 4 and drawing 5 overall. So far, the team has scored 14 goals and conceded 21, with a goal difference of -7. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is presently in the 16 position in the standings. On average, 25.7 goals are scored in 1. FSV Mainz 05 away matches, with 6 of these games featuring a goal from each team (which is 60%). Players need about 25.7 minutes of game time to score away.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Amiri, Nadiem, Sieb, Armindo, Jae-sung, Lee, Widmer, Silvan, Kohr, Dominik, Nebel, Paul, Sano, Kaishu, Tietz, Phillip, da Costa, Danny, Potulski, Kacper, Hollerbach, Benedict.

Standings

# Team G Pts W D L G
12 1. Koln 1. Koln 17 17 4 5 8 25:29
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05 17 12 2 6 9 17:29

Standings tracker

1. Koln 1. Koln
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
14 Position 10
34 Round 34
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Prematch stats

1. Koln 1. Koln
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
10 Matches

2 - Wins

3 - Draws

5 - Loses

Goal Difference

-4

15

19

Scored

Conceded

-3

10

13

10 Matches

Wins - 2

Draws - 5

Loses - 3

1.5
Goals scored per match
1
1.9
Goals conceded per match
1.3
26.5
Minutes/Goal scored
39.1
3.4
Match goals average
2.3
34
Goals Scored
23

Oh, what a tale of two teams in the Bundesliga! 1. Koln, with their gritty determination, has navigated 16 matches, securing 4 hard-fought wins and 5 draws, while suffering 7 setbacks. In contrast, 1. FSV Mainz 05 stumbles along with just 2 victories from 17 games, coupled with 6 draws and 9 losses, highlighting their struggle to find rhythm on the pitch. Koln's attack fires at 1.5 goals per match, netting 24 overall, against Mainz's modest 1 goal per game and only 17 scored, making Koln's offense look lively while Mainz's remains disappointingly tame.

Defensively, both sides leak goals, but Mainz's backline concedes a whopping 1.7 per match, totaling 29, compared to Koln's 1.6 and 26 allowed, painting Koln as slightly more resilient. The average match goals stand at 3.1 for Koln and 2.7 for Mainz, suggesting fiercer, more open battles for the former. Yet, amidst this, Koln's balanced fight contrasts Mainz's ongoing woes, leaving fans wondering if either can turn the tide in upcoming clashes.

Scored

1. Koln 1. Koln is +47% Better in terms of Goals scored.
1. Koln KOE
1.47 Goals / match
1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
1 Goals / match
Scored per game
1. Koln KOE 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
Over 0.5
82%
53%
Over 1.5
29%
29%
Over 2.5
24%
12%
Over 3.5
12%
6%
Failed to score
18%
47%
Scored 1st/2nd Half
1. Koln KOE 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
Scored in 1H
53%
41%
Scored in 2H
59%
41%
Scored in both halves
29%
29%
Scored average 1H
0.53
0.47
Scored average 2H
0.94
0.53

Statistics of 1. Koln matches and 1. FSV Mainz 05 matches within the tournament Bundesliga.

Diving into the stats, 1. Koln emerges as the more prolific attackers, boasting a fiery 1.5 goals per match compared to 1. FSV Mainz 05's steadier but less explosive 1.0. Koln lights up the pitch with 81 matches over 0.5 goals—meaning at least one goal scored—while Mainz lags at 53, highlighting Koln's relentless drive. They fail to score only 19 times, versus Mainz's disappointing 47, showing Koln's sharper edge in creating chances. Yet, Mainz holds firm, scoring evenly in halves with averages of 0.47 and 0.53, a balanced resilience that keeps fans on their toes.

In contrast, Koln's second-half surge, averaging a powerful 1 goal, outshines their 0.5 in the first, making them masters of mounting comebacks that thrill the crowd. While both teams hit the net in both halves—Koln at 31 instances, Mainz at 29—Koln's higher overs like 25 for over 2.5 goals (games with three or more scores) paint them as dynamic warriors. Mainz, though, plays it safe, with just 12 over 2.5, a cautious approach that might lack the high-stakes drama Koln delivers on the field.

Conceded

1. Koln KOE
1.71 Conceded / match
1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
1.71 Conceded / match
Conceded / game
1. Koln KOE 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
Over 0.5
88%
94%
Over 1.5
47%
41%
Over 2.5
29%
18%
Over 3.5
6%
18%
Clean sheets
12%
6%
Conceded / game
1. Koln KOE 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
1H Clean sheet
53%
47%
2H Clean sheet
29%
29%
Conceded in both halves
29%
29%
Conceded average 1H
0.71
0.82
Conceded average 2H
1
0.88

Statistics of 1. Koln matches and 1. FSV Mainz 05 matches within the tournament Bundesliga.

When it comes to defending, 1. Koln emerges as the more resilient warriors on the pitch, conceding just 1.63 goals per match compared to 1. FSV Mainz 05's slightly leakier 1.71. This grit shines in their lower rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals at 25%, while Mainz, though tighter in that stat at 18%, often falters early, with 94% of matches seeing at least one goal slip through. Koln's defenders, like steadfast guardians, manage clean sheets more frequently overall, painting a picture of a team that's tough to crack from the start.

Diving deeper, Koln's stronghold in the first half is impressive, with a 56% clean sheet rate dwarfing Mainz's 47%, though they concede a bit more later on. Mainz fights back in the second half, holding firm at 29% clean sheets and conceding marginally less than Koln's 0.94 goals. It's a thrilling duel of defenses, where Koln's overall solidity gives them the edge, making every match a test of endurance and skill on the field.

Goals handicap

Full time
Handicap
1. Koln KOE 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
+2.5
76%
53%
+1.5
76%
82%
+0.5
53%
47%
-0.5
24%
12%
-1.5
12%
6%
-2.5
12%
6%
1st Half
Handicap
1. Koln KOE 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
+1.5
94%
76%
+0.5
71%
59%
-0.5
18%
24%
-1.5
0%
6%
2nd Half
Handicap
1. Koln KOE 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
+1.5
88%
88%
+0.5
65%
53%
-0.5
29%
24%
-1.5
12%
0%

Diving into the gritty world of Bundesliga battles, 1. Koln emerges as a tenacious underdog, boasting impressive handicap stats that highlight their resilient defense. For instance, they cover the +2.5 handicap in a commanding 75% of full-time matches, towering over 1. FSV Mainz 05's mere 53%, which paints Mainz as somewhat vulnerable when conceding goals. This edge carries into halves too; Koln nails the +1.5 in both first and second periods at 94%, showcasing their knack for keeping scores tight, while Mainz lags at 76% and 88%, revealing a team that fights hard but often falters under pressure.

Picture this: in the first half, Koln's +0.5 coverage hits 69%, giving them a feisty advantage over Mainz's 59%, where the opposition might sneak ahead more often. Yet, as the second half unfolds, both sides show spirit, but Koln's 31% for -0.5 hints at their ability to surge ahead, contrasting Mainz's 24% struggle to overturn deficits—in football terms, this handicap reflects how often a team leads or ties, making Koln's stats a beacon of determination against Mainz's fluctuating form, promising thrilling clashes on the pitch.

Goals by Time Period

1. Koln 1. Koln
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
6%
12%
0%
11 - 20 mins
6%
8%
7%
21 - 30 mins
9%
8%
10%
31 - 40 mins
4%
4%
3%
41 - 50 mins
17%
16%
21%
51 - 60 mins
7%
8%
7%
61 - 70 mins
11%
0%
21%
71 - 80 mins
6%
4%
7%
81 - 90+ mins
34%
40%
24%
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
7%
0%
10%
11 - 20 mins
9%
6%
10%
21 - 30 mins
11%
6%
14%
31 - 40 mins
9%
24%
0%
41 - 50 mins
13%
18%
14%
51 - 60 mins
7%
0%
10%
61 - 70 mins
13%
24%
7%
71 - 80 mins
9%
12%
7%
81 - 90+ mins
22%
10%
28%
1. Koln 1. Koln
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
7%
12%
3%
16 - 30 mins
11%
16%
14%
31 - 45 mins
9%
8%
10%
46 - 60 mins
20%
20%
21%
61 - 75 mins
15%
0%
28%
76 - 90+ mins
38%
44%
24%
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. Koln
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
15%
6%
21%
16 - 30 mins
11%
6%
14%
31 - 45 mins
15%
29%
7%
46 - 60 mins
15%
12%
17%
61 - 75 mins
15%
29%
7%
76 - 90+ mins
29%
18%
34%

Diving into the thrilling world of Bundesliga battles, 1. Koln and 1. FSV Mainz 05 reveal stark contrasts in their goal-scoring rhythms that could electrify any match. Koln often unleashes a late surge, with a whopping 38% of their goals erupting in the final 15 minutes, painting them as dramatic come-from-behind heroes who thrive in the pressure-cooker of extra time. Meanwhile, Mainz flexes a more balanced beast, spreading their strikes evenly across the game—15% in the opening 15 minutes shows their early bite, compared to Koln's sluggish 8%, making Mainz feel like the relentless predators who pounce from the start.

Yet, as the clock ticks towards the dying embers, Koln's fiery 34% in the last gasp of play highlights their unyielding spirit, turning potential defeats into nail-biting triumphs, whereas Mainz's 29% in that same window suggests a steady challenger rather than a sudden storm. This comparison underscores how Koln's explosive finishes versus Mainz's consistent grind could sway outcomes in high-stakes encounters, keeping fans on the edge of their seats for every pulsating moment on the pitch.

Result by half

1st Half
Win%
18%
24%
Draw%
53%
35%
Loss%
29%
41%
2nd Half
Win%
29%
24%
Draw%
35%
29%
Loss%
36%
47%

Diving into the gritty world of German football, 1. Koln shows a resilient spirit in the first half, clinging to draws with a whopping 50% rate, compared to 1. FSV Mainz 05's more aggressive but riskier approach at 24% wins yet a staggering 41% losses. This contrast paints Koln as cautious defenders, holding firm amidst the chaos, while Mainz charges like bold attackers who sometimes stumble early.

Flipping to the second half, Koln ramps up their game with a solid 31% win rate, edging out Mainz's steady 24%, and boasts more draws at 38% against Mainz's 29%. It's here that Koln's endurance shines, turning potential ties into triumphs, whereas Mainz struggles with a hefty 47% losses, revealing their vulnerability as the match wears on and fatigue sets in like a relentless foe.

First goal

53%
29%

Statistics on the percentage of matches, where 1. Koln and 1. FSV Mainz 05 scored first in the Bundesliga of the 2025/2026 season

Koln's fiery offense strikes first in a commanding 50% of games, showcasing their relentless drive, while Mainz lags behind at just 29%, often playing catch-up in tense matches.

Cards statistics

Cards per match
Total cards / match
1. Koln KOE 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
5
2
3

Total cards per match for 1. Koln and 1. FSV Mainz 05 at the tournament Bundesliga in 2025/2026 season.

Total Cards
Over 1.5
76%
82%
79%
Over 2.5
71%
71%
71%
Over 3.5
59%
65%
62%
Over 4.5
29%
41%
35%
Over 5.5
18%
24%
21%
Over 6.5
18%
24%
21%
Over 7.5
18%
12%
15%
Team Cards
Over 0.5
76%
88%
82%
Over 1.5
53%
65%
59%
Over 2.5
24%
47%
35%
Over 3.5
12%
35%
23%
Over 4.5
0%
18%
9%
Cards Against Team
Cards Against Team
1. Koln KOE 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05 Average
Over 0.5
82%
71%
76%
Over 1.5
65%
47%
56%
Over 2.5
24%
24%
24%
Over 3.5
18%
18%
18%
Over 4.5
12%
6%
9%

Trends

1. Koln

3 / 10 of last matches 1. Koln in all competitions ended in a draw

1. Koln

3 / 10 of last matches 1. Koln in Bundesliga ended in a draw

1. Koln 1. FSV Mainz 05

5 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in a draw

1. FSV Mainz 05

5 / 10 of last matches 1. FSV Mainz 05 in all competitions ended in a draw

1. FSV Mainz 05

5 / 10 of last matches 1. FSV Mainz 05 in Bundesliga ended in a draw

1. Koln 1. FSV Mainz 05

5 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in a draw

1. Koln

6 / 10 of the last matches 1. Koln in all tournaments ended with a loss in the 2nd half

1. Koln

5 / 10 of the last matches 1. Koln in Bundesliga ended with its defeat in the 2nd half

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 / 10 of the last matches 1. FSV Mainz 05 in all tournaments ended with its victory in the 2nd half

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 / 10 of the last matches 1. FSV Mainz 05 in Bundesliga ended with its victory in the 2nd half

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