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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim - 1. FSV Mainz 05 prediction

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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
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03/04/26, 09:56 | Peterson Luciano

Match predictions

After discovering the full review of the match, our accurate TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 predictions are based on statistical analysis and it is evident that Double chance - X2 is the best choice for this game.

04/04/2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
09:30
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
Bet: Double chance - X2
Odds: 2.13

Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 04.04.2026 19:41

Match preview

The upcoming Bundesliga (Germany) clash between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be taking place on 04.04 at 09:30. Sports bettors can review detailed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v 1. FSV Mainz 05 betting tips and analysis of both teams' statistics to make an informed prediction for the match.

H2H and previous results

Teams have faced each other in a total of 36 games, in which their last meeting took place on 21.11.25 with score 1:1, with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim winning 11, 1. FSV Mainz 05 winning 15, and 10 games in a draw. So far, the goal difference between the teams is 54-61.

H2H Statistics

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
31%
28%
42%
11 wins 10 draws 15 wins

Comparison stat

Find out about the last 10 matches between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 1. FSV Mainz 05, including their wins, draws, losses, and the stats on goals scored and allowed.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
10 Matches

4 - Wins

3 - Draws

3 - Loses

Goal Difference

-1

16

17

Scored

Conceded

+4

14

10

10 Matches

Wins - 5

Draws - 4

Loses - 1

1.6
Goals scored per match
1.4
1.7
Goals conceded per match
1
24.5
Minutes/Goal scored
37.5
3.3
Match goals average
2.4
33
Goals Scored
24

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim review

So far this season, the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim has played 10 matches, with 5 wins, 3 losses, and 2 draws. At home, they have 5 wins. This record has put the team in 5 place in the league. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim has scored 26 goals and conceded 7 on average per match at their home stadium, making their goal difference +19. The average number of goals they have scored in their home matches is 27.3. Also, 60% of their home games have seen both teams score 6, and it takes TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 27.3 minutes on average to score a goal in their matches at home.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Kramaric, Andrej, Asllani, Fisnik, Lemperle, Tim, Promel, Grischa, Burger, Wouter, Kabak, Ozan, Prass, Alexander, Toure, Bazoumana, Moerstedt, Max, Coufal, Vladimir, Hajdari, Albian, Gendrey, Valentin

1. FSV Mainz 05 review

This season, the 1. FSV Mainz 05 played 10 games in the Bundesliga tournament, winning 2 away matches and 5, losing 2 and drawing 3 overall. So far, the team has scored 11 goals and conceded 19, with a goal difference of -8. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is presently in the 11 position in the standings. On average, 30 goals are scored in 1. FSV Mainz 05 away matches, with 6 of these games featuring a goal from each team (which is 60%). Players need about 30 minutes of game time to score away.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Amiri, Nadiem, Nebel, Paul, Jae-sung, Lee, Sieb, Armindo, Tietz, Phillip, Widmer, Silvan, da Costa, Danny, Bell, Stefan, Kohr, Dominik, Sano, Kaishu, Potulski, Kacper, Hollerbach, Benedict, Silas, Becker, Sheraldo.

Standings

# Team G Pts W D L G
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 27 50 15 5 7 54:39
11 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05 27 30 7 9 11 33:42

Standings tracker

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
5 Position 10
34 Round 34
Previous | Next round

Prematch stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
10 Matches

4 - Wins

3 - Draws

3 - Loses

Goal Difference

-1

16

17

Scored

Conceded

+4

14

10

10 Matches

Wins - 5

Draws - 4

Loses - 1

1.6
Goals scored per match
1.4
1.7
Goals conceded per match
1
24.5
Minutes/Goal scored
37.5
3.3
Match goals average
2.4
33
Goals Scored
24

Hoffenheim has shown real fire with 15 wins in 27 matches. They only lost 7 times. Mainz, on the other hand, won just 7 games and lost 11. This makes Hoffenheim the stronger fighter this season. Their draws stand at 5 against Mainz's 9, highlighting Hoffenheim's edge in battles.

In goals, Hoffenheim blasted 54 past opponents while letting in 39. Mainz scored a modest 33 and conceded 42. Hoffenheim averages 2 goals per game, outshining Mainz's 1.22. This attacking style gives Hoffenheim more thrill on the field.

Scored

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is +64% Better in terms of Goals scored.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG
2 Goals / match
1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
1.22 Goals / match
Scored per game
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
Over 0.5
81%
67%
Over 1.5
56%
41%
Over 2.5
44%
11%
Over 3.5
15%
4%
Failed to score
19%
33%
Scored 1st/2nd Half
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
Scored in 1H
59%
52%
Scored in 2H
63%
52%
Scored in both halves
41%
37%
Scored average 1H
1
0.56
Scored average 2H
1
0.67

Statistics of TSG 1899 Hoffenheim matches and 1. FSV Mainz 05 matches within the tournament Bundesliga.

Hoffenheim, those relentless attackers, blaze through matches with a solid 2 goals per match, outpacing Mainz's cautious 1.22 average. They dominate in high-scoring thrillers, hitting over 2.5 goals in 44% of games, while Mainz, ever the defenders, barely reach that in just 11%. It's clear Hoffenheim's fierce offense rarely falters, failing to score in only 19% of outings compared to Mainz's disappointing 33%, making every game a potential fireworks show versus a tense standoff.

Delving deeper, Hoffenheim lights up both halves equally, averaging a goal each with 59% strikes before the break and 63% after, often scoring in both for a dynamic 41%. Mainz, though steady, lags with 0.56 goals in the first half and 0.67 in the second, managing both halves in 37% of matches. This contrast paints Hoffenheim as the unrelenting force, always pushing forward, while Mainz grinds out results with grit, keeping fans on the edge until the final whistle.

Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is +8% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG
1.44 Conceded / match
1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
1.56 Conceded / match
Conceded / game
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
Over 0.5
78%
89%
Over 1.5
33%
37%
Over 2.5
15%
15%
Over 3.5
11%
15%
Clean sheets
22%
11%
Conceded / game
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
1H Clean sheet
52%
52%
2H Clean sheet
44%
37%
Conceded in both halves
26%
22%
Conceded average 1H
0.7
0.74
Conceded average 2H
0.74
0.81

Statistics of TSG 1899 Hoffenheim matches and 1. FSV Mainz 05 matches within the tournament Bundesliga.

Hoffenheim's defense stands strong, conceding just 1.44 goals per match. That's better than Mainz, who let in 1.56. Hoffenheim keeps clean sheets 22% of the time, while Mainz manages only 11%. In the first half, both teams shine with 52% clean sheets, showing early grit.

Mainz games often see over 0.5 goals at 89%, compared to Hoffenheim's 78%, hinting at more action. But for over 2.5 goals, both sit at 15%, meaning tight battles. Hoffenheim edges out in the second half with 44% clean sheets versus Mainz's 37%, proving their defensive heart till the end.

Goals handicap

Full time
Handicap
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
+2.5
81%
63%
+1.5
81%
85%
+0.5
74%
59%
-0.5
56%
26%
-1.5
44%
15%
-2.5
19%
4%
1st Half
Handicap
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
+1.5
89%
81%
+0.5
70%
67%
-0.5
41%
33%
-1.5
26%
4%
2nd Half
Handicap
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
+1.5
93%
89%
+0.5
81%
56%
-0.5
30%
33%
-1.5
11%
4%

Hoffenheim roars ahead in handicap stats. Their full-time +2.5 hits 81%, far above Mainz's 63%. This means Hoffenheim often wins by big margins. They shine in the first half with 89% on +1.5, while Mainz lags at 81%.

In the second half, Hoffenheim surges to 93% on +1.5, making them a powerhouse. Mainz struggles at just 4% for -1.5. Hoffenheim's edge shows in every game phase, painting them as the fiercer team on the pitch.

Goals by Time Period

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
6%
6%
8%
11 - 20 mins
10%
6%
15%
21 - 30 mins
10%
11%
8%
31 - 40 mins
5%
7%
3%
41 - 50 mins
23%
26%
21%
51 - 60 mins
10%
15%
5%
61 - 70 mins
13%
11%
18%
71 - 80 mins
11%
9%
13%
81 - 90+ mins
12%
9%
9%
1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
9%
9%
10%
11 - 20 mins
8%
3%
12%
21 - 30 mins
9%
6%
12%
31 - 40 mins
7%
15%
0%
41 - 50 mins
13%
18%
14%
51 - 60 mins
7%
3%
10%
61 - 70 mins
12%
18%
7%
71 - 80 mins
9%
9%
10%
81 - 90+ mins
26%
19%
25%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
8%
7%
10%
16 - 30 mins
17%
15%
21%
31 - 45 mins
11%
11%
10%
46 - 60 mins
27%
37%
18%
61 - 75 mins
15%
13%
21%
76 - 90+ mins
22%
17%
20%
1. FSV Mainz 05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
16%
12%
19%
16 - 30 mins
11%
6%
14%
31 - 45 mins
15%
21%
10%
46 - 60 mins
15%
15%
14%
61 - 75 mins
15%
24%
7%
76 - 90+ mins
28%
22%
36%

Hoffenheim lights up the pitch with their mid-game magic. They score big in the 41-50 minute stretch, hitting 23% or more in some games. This shows their fierce drive after halftime, like a sudden storm that overwhelms foes. In the 46-60 minute block, they rack up 27% of goals, proving they thrive when the match heats up.

Mainz, on the other hand, saves their best for last, shining in the 81-90+ minutes with 26% of goals. This makes them the comeback heroes, turning games around when fans least expect it. Compared to Hoffenheim's early bursts, Mainz's late surges highlight their tough spirit, creating thrilling finishes that keep crowds on edge.

Result by half

1st Half
Win%
41%
33%
Draw%
30%
33%
Loss%
29%
34%
2nd Half
Win%
30%
33%
Draw%
52%
22%
Loss%
18%
45%

Hoffenheim charges into the first half with a fierce 41% win rate, outpacing Mainz's steady 33%. They draw 30% and lose 29%, while Mainz ties at 33% and falls short at 34%. This shows Hoffenheim's early attack beats Mainz's balanced but weaker start.

In the second half, Hoffenheim holds firm with 52% draws and just 18% losses, proving their resilient defense. Mainz falters, losing 45% and drawing only 22%. Overall, Hoffenheim's consistency gives them an edge over Mainz's struggles in the latter stages.

First goal

44%
44%

Statistics on the percentage of matches, where TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 1. FSV Mainz 05 scored first in the Bundesliga of the 2025/2026 season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim charges forward with a 44% rate for scoring first, showing their fierce drive on the pitch.

1. FSV Mainz 05 matches that exact 44% for scoring first, making both teams evenly thrilling in their attacks.

Cards statistics

Cards per match
Total cards / match
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05
4
2
2

Total cards per match for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 1. FSV Mainz 05 at the tournament Bundesliga in 2025/2026 season.

Total Cards
Over 1.5
85%
85%
85%
Over 2.5
70%
74%
72%
Over 3.5
59%
59%
59%
Over 4.5
22%
37%
29%
Over 5.5
11%
15%
13%
Over 6.5
4%
15%
9%
Over 7.5
0%
7%
3%
Team Cards
Over 0.5
85%
85%
85%
Over 1.5
56%
67%
61%
Over 2.5
33%
41%
37%
Over 3.5
15%
26%
20%
Over 4.5
0%
11%
5%
Cards Against Team
Cards Against Team
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1. FSV Mainz 05 M05 Average
Over 0.5
70%
74%
72%
Over 1.5
48%
52%
50%
Over 2.5
26%
19%
22%
Over 3.5
4%
11%
7%
Over 4.5
4%
4%
4%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 1. FSV Mainz 05 both average 2 cards per match, showing fierce competition on the pitch. Hoffenheim hits over 2.5 cards in 70% of games, while Mainz edges ahead at 74%, hinting at their aggressive style. For total cards over 3.5, both stand at 59%, but Mainz leads in higher thresholds like over 4.5 at 37% versus Hoffenheim's 22%. Fans see Mainz as the bolder warriors, racking up warnings that keep matches electric.

When it comes to team cards, Hoffenheim goes over 1.5 in 56% of matches, compared to Mainz's 67%, proving Mainz plays with more fire. Cards against the teams are close; Hoffenheim over 1.5 at 48%, Mainz at 52%, suggesting both face tough foes. Overall, these stats paint Mainz as the feistier squad, drawing more referee attention and adding drama to every clash.

Trends

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

4 / 10 of last matches TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in all competitions, at least one team did not score

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

4 / 10 of last matches TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in Bundesliga, at least one team has not scored

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05

5 / 10 of the last matches between the teams, at least one of the teams did not score

1. FSV Mainz 05

5 / 10 of last matches 1. FSV Mainz 05 in all competitions, at least one team did not score

1. FSV Mainz 05

3 / 10 of last matches 1. FSV Mainz 05 in Bundesliga, at least one team has not scored

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

7 / 10 of last matches in all competitions TSG 1899 Hoffenheim did not draw

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

8 / 10 of last matches in Bundesliga TSG 1899 Hoffenheim did not draw

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05

8 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a win

1. FSV Mainz 05

6 / 10 of last matches in all competitions 1. FSV Mainz 05 did not draw

1. FSV Mainz 05

7 / 10 of last matches in Bundesliga 1. FSV Mainz 05 did not draw

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