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Rayo Vallecano - Elche prediction

La Liga

La Liga

Round 30
Fri 3 Apr 2026 - 15:00
Finished
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Rayo Vallecano vs Elche
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02/04/26, 15:16 | Piter Macmillan

Match predictions

By examining the details using statistical and analytical methods, we have determined that the Double chance - X2 is the best potential outcome for the Rayo Vallecano versus Elche matchup. With a comprehensive review of the match already completed, our predictions are reliable.

03/04/2026

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
15:00
Elche Elche
Bet: Double chance - X2
Odds: 2.10

Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 03.04.2026 19:42

Match preview

The match between Rayo Vallecano and Elche, as part of the La Liga (Spain), is scheduled for 03.04 at 15:00. Betting enthusiasts can use the following analysis of teams' statistics and prediction to gain detailed insight into their betting decisions for the match.

H2H and previous results

Teams have faced each other in a total of 24 games, in which their last meeting took place on 21.12.25 with score 4:0, with Rayo Vallecano winning 4, Elche winning 16, and 4 games in a draw. So far, the goal difference between the teams is 26-44.

H2H Statistics

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Elche Elche
17%
17%
67%
4 wins 4 draws 16 wins

Comparison stat

Find out about the last 10 matches between Rayo Vallecano and Elche, including their wins, draws, losses, and the stats on goals scored and allowed.

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Elche Elche
10 Matches

3 - Wins

4 - Draws

3 - Loses

Goal Difference

+5

14

9

Scored

Conceded

-8

13

21

10 Matches

Wins - 2

Draws - 2

Loses - 6

1.4
Goals scored per match
1.3
0.9
Goals conceded per match
2.1
39.1
Minutes/Goal scored
26.5
2.3
Match goals average
3.4
23
Goals Scored
34

Rayo Vallecano review

So far this season, the Rayo Vallecano has played 10 matches, with 2 wins, 4 losses, and 4 draws. At home, they have 2 wins. This record has put the team in 14 place in the league. Rayo Vallecano has scored 13 goals and conceded 8 on average per match at their home stadium, making their goal difference +5. The average number of goals they have scored in their home matches is 42.9. Also, 60% of their home games have seen both teams score 6, and it takes Rayo Vallecano 42.9 minutes on average to score a goal in their matches at home.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: De Frutos, Jorge, Garcia, Alvaro, Palazon, Isi, Perez, Fran, Espino, Alfonso, Mendy, Nobel, Ciss, Pathe, Chavarria, Pep, Alemao, Valentin, Oscar

Elche review

In this season's La Liga tournament, the Elche played 10 games. Out of these away matches, the club won 0, in total winning 1, losing 6 and drawing 3. Elche scored 9 goals and conceded 23, resulting in a goal difference of -14. The team is currently in the 17 position in the table. On average, 28.1 goals are scored in each of Elche's away matches. In 8 matches both teams scored, which is 80%. Elche players take approximately 28.1 minutes to score away.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Mir, Rafa, Silva, Andre, Rodriguez, Alvaro, Valera, German, Febas, Aleix, Neto, Martim, Pedrosa, Adria, Donald, John, Fort, Hector, Diangana, Grady, Boayar Benaisa, Adam, Aguado, Marc, Morente, Tete.

Standings

# Team G Pts W D L G
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 29 32 7 11 11 28:35
17 Elche Elche 29 29 6 11 12 38:46

Standings tracker

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Elche Elche
8 Position 15
38 Round 38
Previous | Next round

Prematch stats

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Elche Elche
10 Matches

3 - Wins

4 - Draws

3 - Loses

Goal Difference

+5

14

9

Scored

Conceded

-8

13

21

10 Matches

Wins - 2

Draws - 2

Loses - 6

1.4
Goals scored per match
1.3
0.9
Goals conceded per match
2.1
39.1
Minutes/Goal scored
26.5
2.3
Match goals average
3.4
23
Goals Scored
34

Rayo Vallecano fights hard with 7 wins, just ahead of Elche's 6. Both teams share 11 draws, but Rayo loses less at 11 compared to Elche's 12. This shows Rayo's tougher spirit on the field.

Elche scores 38 goals, more than Rayo's 28, yet they concede 46 while Rayo gives up only 35. Elche plays an attacking style, but their defense struggles more than Rayo's solid backline.

Scored

Elche Elche is +35% Better in terms of Goals scored.
Rayo Vallecano RVC
0.97 Goals / match
Elche ELC
1.31 Goals / match
Scored per game
Rayo Vallecano RVC Elche ELC
Over 0.5
62%
86%
Over 1.5
21%
34%
Over 2.5
14%
7%
Over 3.5
0%
3%
Failed to score
38%
14%
Scored 1st/2nd Half
Rayo Vallecano RVC Elche ELC
Scored in 1H
34%
45%
Scored in 2H
41%
62%
Scored in both halves
14%
21%
Scored average 1H
0.52
0.45
Scored average 2H
0.45
0.86

Statistics of Rayo Vallecano matches and Elche matches within the tournament La Liga.

Rayo Vallecano limps along with just 0.97 goals per match, often stumbling as they fail to score in 38 games, while Elche surges ahead with a more explosive 1.31 goals and far fewer blank outings at only 14. This contrast highlights Elche's fiercer offensive edge, where they light up the pitch in 86 matches with over 0.5 goals—that means at least one goal—versus Rayo's more cautious 62, making Elche's games feel alive with potential.

Delving deeper, both teams tie at 0.45 goals on average in the first half, but Elche then erupts in the second with 0.86 goals, outpacing Rayo's 0.45, which underscores their dynamic comebacks. Rayo manages to score in both halves just 14 times, against Elche's spirited 21, painting Elche as the more resilient warrior on the field, ready to battle through to victory.

Conceded

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano is +31% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Rayo Vallecano RVC
1.21 Conceded / match
Elche ELC
1.59 Conceded / match
Conceded / game
Rayo Vallecano RVC Elche ELC
Over 0.5
72%
79%
Over 1.5
24%
48%
Over 2.5
17%
28%
Over 3.5
7%
3%
Clean sheets
28%
21%
Conceded / game
Rayo Vallecano RVC Elche ELC
1H Clean sheet
52%
55%
2H Clean sheet
52%
38%
Conceded in both halves
24%
28%
Conceded average 1H
0.48
0.66
Conceded average 2H
0.72
0.93

Statistics of Rayo Vallecano matches and Elche matches within the tournament La Liga.

Rayo Vallecano shows a tougher defense than Elche. They concede just 1.21 goals per match, while Elche allows 1.59. Rayo's clean sheets reach 28%, against Elche's 21%. This means Rayo's team often blocks goals completely. Their backline is solid and reliable in tight spots.

Elche concedes more in the second half, averaging 0.93 goals, compared to Rayo's 0.72. Rayo keeps a clean sheet in the second half 52% of the time, versus Elche's 38%. Fans see Rayo as the stronger side late in games, holding firm under pressure.

Goals handicap

Full time
Handicap
Rayo Vallecano RVC Elche ELC
+2.5
69%
79%
+1.5
83%
76%
+0.5
62%
59%
-0.5
24%
21%
-1.5
14%
10%
-2.5
10%
7%
1st Half
Handicap
Rayo Vallecano RVC Elche ELC
+1.5
100%
93%
+0.5
62%
69%
-0.5
28%
17%
-1.5
10%
0%
2nd Half
Handicap
Rayo Vallecano RVC Elche ELC
+1.5
90%
90%
+0.5
59%
59%
-0.5
28%
31%
-1.5
3%
10%

Rayo Vallecano and Elche bring passion to the pitch. Rayo often hits high marks in handicap stats, like 83% for full-time +1.5. This means they cover a one-goal deficit more than Elche, who reach 76%. Rayo's first half shows 100% on +1.5, proving their early fight. Elche matches at 93%, but Rayo edges out in key moments. These numbers highlight Rayo's bold spirit against Elche's steady grit.

In the second half, both teams stay strong with 90% on +1.5. Rayo pulls ahead with lower negative handicaps, like 3% on -1.5, showing less risk of big losses. Elche fights back at 10% for the same. Handicaps give a fake goal lead, helping bettors see team edge. This comparison fires up fans, as Rayo's edge makes for thrilling games. Elche's resilience keeps it close and exciting.

Goals by Time Period

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
3%
4%
3%
11 - 20 mins
11%
7%
14%
21 - 30 mins
8%
7%
9%
31 - 40 mins
6%
7%
6%
41 - 50 mins
22%
32%
14%
51 - 60 mins
11%
11%
11%
61 - 70 mins
13%
14%
11%
71 - 80 mins
8%
7%
9%
81 - 90+ mins
18%
11%
23%
Elche Elche
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
10%
5%
13%
11 - 20 mins
8%
11%
7%
21 - 30 mins
7%
5%
9%
31 - 40 mins
5%
3%
7%
41 - 50 mins
11%
13%
9%
51 - 60 mins
13%
18%
9%
61 - 70 mins
8%
11%
9%
71 - 80 mins
10%
11%
9%
81 - 90+ mins
28%
23%
28%
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
6%
7%
6%
16 - 30 mins
16%
11%
20%
31 - 45 mins
16%
21%
14%
46 - 60 mins
21%
29%
17%
61 - 75 mins
14%
14%
14%
76 - 90+ mins
27%
18%
29%
Elche Rayo Vallecano
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
15%
11%
20%
16 - 30 mins
8%
11%
9%
31 - 45 mins
12%
13%
13%
46 - 60 mins
15%
21%
11%
61 - 75 mins
13%
18%
11%
76 - 90+ mins
37%
26%
36%

Rayo Vallecano often starts slow, scoring just 3-7% in the first 10 minutes, while Elche explodes early with 5-13%. This makes Elche feel urgent and aggressive from the kickoff. Rayo's patient style builds later, shining in the 41-50 minutes at 14-32%, compared to Elche's steady 9-13% there. Elche's resilience shows in the final push.

In the last 15 minutes, both teams thrill fans, but Elche dominates with 26-37%, proving their late-game heart. Rayo fights back hard at 18-29% in that time, creating dramatic ends. This contrast highlights Rayo's mid-game strength against Elche's end-game fire, keeping matches alive until the whistle.

Result by half

1st Half
Win%
28%
17%
Draw%
34%
52%
Loss%
38%
31%
2nd Half
Win%
28%
31%
Draw%
31%
28%
Loss%
41%
41%

Rayo Vallecano charges into the first half with a fierce 28% win rate, showing their bold spirit. Elche plays it safe, drawing 52% of the time, while Rayo faces losses at 38%. This highlights Rayo's attacking edge against Elche's steady defense.

In the second half, Rayo keeps their win rate steady at 28%, proving consistent grit. Elche rallies to 31% wins, stepping up the fight. Both teams battle losses at 41%, making it a tense push for victory on the field.

First goal

34%
34%

Statistics on the percentage of matches, where Rayo Vallecano and Elche scored first in the La Liga of the 2025/2026 season

Rayo Vallecano scores first 34% of the time. They jump ahead with real fire in their play.

Elche matches that at 34%. Both teams share a sharp edge in grabbing the early lead.

Cards statistics

Cards per match
Total cards / match
Rayo Vallecano RVC Elche ELC
5
3
2

Total cards per match for Rayo Vallecano and Elche at the tournament La Liga in 2025/2026 season.

Total Cards
Over 1.5
90%
86%
88%
Over 2.5
72%
86%
79%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
66%
Over 4.5
48%
45%
46%
Over 5.5
28%
38%
33%
Over 6.5
28%
7%
17%
Over 7.5
10%
3%
6%
Team Cards
Over 0.5
90%
83%
86%
Over 1.5
66%
69%
67%
Over 2.5
48%
41%
44%
Over 3.5
31%
10%
20%
Over 4.5
14%
3%
8%
Cards Against Team
Cards Against Team
Rayo Vallecano RVC Elche ELC Average
Over 0.5
83%
79%
81%
Over 1.5
59%
66%
62%
Over 2.5
34%
45%
39%
Over 3.5
14%
14%
14%
Over 4.5
7%
3%
5%

Rayo Vallecano shows a fiery spirit with an average of 3 cards per match, higher than Elche's 2. They hit over 1.5 cards in 90% of games, compared to Elche's 86%. Rayo often exceeds 2.5 cards at 72%, while Elche matches at 86% but slows at higher marks. This makes Rayo the more aggressive side on the pitch, drawing refs' attention with their intense play.

In team cards, Rayo Vallecano leads with over 0.5 in 90% of matches, against Elche's 83%. They go over 1.5 at 66%, just above Elche's 69%. For cards against them, Rayo sees over 0.5 in 83% of games, Elche in 79%. Elche holds a tighter defense, facing fewer high-card games. Both teams battle hard, but Rayo brings more drama to every clash.

Trends

Rayo Vallecano

6 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Rayo Vallecano did not draw

Rayo Vallecano

6 / 10 of last matches in La Liga Rayo Vallecano did not draw

Rayo Vallecano Elche

8 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a win

Elche

8 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Elche did not draw

Elche

7 / 10 of last matches in La Liga Elche did not draw

Rayo Vallecano

3 / 10 of last matches Rayo Vallecano in all tournaments ended with her victory

Rayo Vallecano

2 / 10 of last matches Rayo Vallecano in La Liga ended with her victory

Rayo Vallecano

3 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in victory Rayo Vallecano

Elche

6 / 10 of her last matches Elche in all competitions ended in defeat

Elche

6 / 10 of last matches Elche in La Liga ended in defeat

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