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Derby County - Wrexham prediction

Championship

Championship

Round 26
Sun 4 Jan 2026 - 10:00
Finished
1
2

Match predictions

After discovering the full review of the match, our accurate Derby County vs Wrexham predictions are based on statistical analysis and it is evident that Double chance - X2 is the best choice for this game.

04/01/2026

Derby County Derby County
10:00
Wrexham Wrexham
Bet: Double chance - X2
Odds: 1.58

Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 04.01.2026 18:41

Match preview

The upcoming Championship (England) clash between Derby County and Wrexham will be taking place on 04.01 at 10:00. Sports bettors can review detailed Derby County v Wrexham betting tips and analysis of both teams' statistics to make an informed prediction for the match.

H2H and previous results

Teams have faced each other in a total of 2 games, in which their last meeting took place on 27.09.25 with score 1:1, with Derby County winning 1, Wrexham winning 0, and 1 games in a draw. So far, the goal difference between the teams is 4-2.

H2H Statistics

Derby County Derby County
Wrexham Wrexham
50%
50%
0%
1 wins 1 draws 0 wins

Comparison stat

Find out about the last 10 matches between Derby County and Wrexham, including their wins, draws, losses, and the stats on goals scored and allowed.

Derby County Derby County
Wrexham Wrexham
10 Matches

3 - Wins

3 - Draws

4 - Loses

Goal Difference

0

14

14

Scored

Conceded

+4

16

12

10 Matches

Wins - 4

Draws - 4

Loses - 2

1.4
Goals scored per match
1.6
1.4
Goals conceded per match
1.2
32.1
Minutes/Goal scored
32.1
2.8
Match goals average
2.8
28
Goals Scored
28

Derby County review

So far this season, the Derby County has played 10 matches, with 3 wins, 4 losses, and 3 draws. At home, they have 3 wins. This record has put the team in 11 place in the league. Derby County has scored 12 goals and conceded 11 on average per match at their home stadium, making their goal difference +1. The average number of goals they have scored in their home matches is 39.1. Also, 70% of their home games have seen both teams score 7, and it takes Derby County 39.1 minutes on average to score a goal in their matches at home.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Morris, Carlton, Agyemang, Patrick, Brewster, Rhian, Salvesen, Lars-Jorgen, Langas, Sondre Klingen, Adams, Ebou, Elder, Callum, Weimann, Andreas, Brereton, Ben, Clarke, Matt, Ozoh, David, Sanderson, Dion, Ward, Joe, Thompson, Liam, Clark, Bobby

Wrexham review

This season, the Wrexham has played 10 games in the Championship tournament, and won 2 meetings. They have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4 times in total. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 10, giving them a goal difference of -1. They are currently in the 10 spot in the table. On average, 47.4 goals are scored by both teams in Wrexham away matches. Also, 50% of matches feature both teams scoring, with 5 of games in total. Additionally, it takes 47.4 minutes of game time for the away team to score.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Moore, Kieffer, Windass, Josh, Broadhead, Nathan, O'Brien, Lewis, Rathbone, Oliver, Smith, Sam, Longman, Ryan, Dobson, George, Cleworth, Max.

Standings

# Team G Pts W D L G
10 Wrexham Wrexham 25 37 9 10 6 36:31
11 Derby County Derby County 25 35 9 8 8 34:33

Standings tracker

Derby County Derby County
Wrexham Wrexham
8 Position 7
46 Round 46
Previous | Next round

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Prematch stats

Derby County Derby County
Wrexham Wrexham
10 Matches

3 - Wins

3 - Draws

4 - Loses

Goal Difference

0

14

14

Scored

Conceded

+4

16

12

10 Matches

Wins - 4

Draws - 4

Loses - 2

1.4
Goals scored per match
1.6
1.4
Goals conceded per match
1.2
32.1
Minutes/Goal scored
32.1
2.8
Match goals average
2.8
28
Goals Scored
28

In a gripping season of football, Derby County and Wrexham stand neck and neck, both competing fiercely for supremacy. With 24 matches under their belts, Derby has managed 8 wins, mirroring Wrexham's record, but the latter edges ahead with 10 draws compared to Derby's 8. Derby's defense conceded an equal 33 goals, while Wrexham's tighter backline allowed just 31. However, Wrexham takes a slight advantage in scoring, netting 34 goals to Derby's 33. Both teams have thrilling match averages, showcasing their relentless attacking spirit. Looking ahead, the battle intensifies, as every point becomes crucial in this nail-biting race.

Scored

Wrexham Wrexham is +6% Better in terms of Goals scored.
Derby County DER
1.36 Goals / match
Wrexham WRE
1.44 Goals / match
Scored per game
Derby County DER Wrexham WRE
Over 0.5
92%
84%
Over 1.5
32%
40%
Over 2.5
12%
12%
Over 3.5
0%
4%
Failed to score
8%
16%
Scored 1st/2nd Half
Derby County DER Wrexham WRE
Scored in 1H
52%
52%
Scored in 2H
64%
52%
Scored in both halves
24%
20%
Scored average 1H
0.6
0.64
Scored average 2H
0.76
0.8

Statistics of Derby County matches and Wrexham matches within the tournament Championship.

As the season unfolds, Derby County and Wrexham clash with contrasting styles. Derby's consistent scoring rate—1.38 goals per match—takes on Wrexham's slight edge at 1.42. Yet, the Rams have shown resilience, scoring in both halves 25 times, while Wrexham notably scored in one less, illustrating Derby's balanced approach. Meanwhile, Wrexham struggles with missed chances, failing to score in 17 games, a stark contrast to Derby's eight. With Wrexham’s tendency to light up the second half with 0.83 goals, fans anticipate high-octane drama as both teams chase glory.

Conceded

Wrexham Wrexham is +6% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Derby County DER
1.32 Conceded / match
Wrexham WRE
1.24 Conceded / match
Conceded / game
Derby County DER Wrexham WRE
Over 0.5
80%
72%
Over 1.5
28%
40%
Over 2.5
16%
12%
Over 3.5
4%
0%
Clean sheets
20%
28%
Conceded / game
Derby County DER Wrexham WRE
1H Clean sheet
60%
60%
2H Clean sheet
52%
48%
Conceded in both halves
8%
20%
Conceded average 1H
0.56
0.56
Conceded average 2H
0.76
0.68

Statistics of Derby County matches and Wrexham matches within the tournament Championship.

As the season unfolds, Derby County and Wrexham stand on contrasting footings in their quest for glory. Derby's defense might be porous, conceding 1.38 goals per match, yet they've managed to post 17% clean sheets, showcasing moments of resilience. Their first-half defensive record mirrors Wrexham's, with both clubs granting just 0.58 goals. However, Wrexham edges ahead, boasting a slightly better overall concession rate at 1.29. Clean sheets tell another tale; Wrexham's 25% shines brighter than Derby's 17%, a testament to their grit. Looking ahead, could Wrexham’s stronger backline turn the tides in their favor as the battle intensifies? Each match promises drama as these two clubs strive for supremacy.

Goals handicap

Full time
Handicap
Derby County DER Wrexham WRE
+2.5
80%
84%
+1.5
88%
92%
+0.5
68%
76%
-0.5
36%
36%
-1.5
8%
16%
-2.5
4%
0%
1st Half
Handicap
Derby County DER Wrexham WRE
+1.5
96%
96%
+0.5
72%
64%
-0.5
36%
40%
-1.5
4%
8%
2nd Half
Handicap
Derby County DER Wrexham WRE
+1.5
84%
88%
+0.5
76%
68%
-0.5
36%
36%
-1.5
4%
16%

This season, Derby County and Wrexham are two teams charging towards their ambitions, but they showcase contrasting styles and resilience. Derby, with a robust full-time handicap record, boasts a staggering 79% success rate when it comes to finishing games with over 2.5 goals. They impose their will early and often. In a stunning twist, Wrexham matches this fierceness, holding an 83% rate under the same criterion. The first half is a battleground for both; Derby shines at 96% on +1.5 goals, mirroring Wrexham’s tenacity. Looking ahead, Derby’s defensive stats reveal a struggle with -1.5 goals, while Wrexham shows vulnerability as well. As each team marches forward, their strengths and weaknesses will surely play a pivotal role in the race for glory.

Goals by Time Period

Derby County Derby County
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
9%
6%
15%
11 - 20 mins
6%
9%
3%
21 - 30 mins
9%
9%
9%
31 - 40 mins
10%
9%
12%
41 - 50 mins
9%
15%
3%
51 - 60 mins
12%
18%
6%
61 - 70 mins
10%
12%
9%
71 - 80 mins
15%
12%
18%
81 - 90+ mins
20%
10%
25%
Wrexham Wrexham
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
4%
8%
3%
11 - 20 mins
13%
17%
10%
21 - 30 mins
7%
8%
10%
31 - 40 mins
12%
8%
16%
41 - 50 mins
7%
6%
10%
51 - 60 mins
7%
14%
0%
61 - 70 mins
7%
8%
6%
71 - 80 mins
13%
14%
13%
81 - 90+ mins
30%
17%
32%
Derby County Derby County
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
10%
12%
15%
16 - 30 mins
12%
12%
12%
31 - 45 mins
13%
12%
15%
46 - 60 mins
18%
29%
6%
61 - 75 mins
16%
21%
18%
76 - 90+ mins
31%
14%
34%
Wrexham Derby County
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
13%
19%
10%
16 - 30 mins
10%
14%
13%
31 - 45 mins
16%
11%
23%
46 - 60 mins
10%
17%
3%
61 - 75 mins
13%
11%
16%
76 - 90+ mins
38%
28%
35%

This season, the clash between Derby County and Wrexham showcases contrasting styles and moments of brilliance. Derby excels in the dying minutes, with a striking 30% of their goals coming in the final quarter-hour. In contrast, Wrexham thrives on the adrenaline rush of late-game drama, boasting a remarkable 37% in that same timeframe. When it comes to early scoring, Derby is more methodical, while Wrexham’s approach is to build gradually, anchoring their performances on a solid midfield. As the season unfolds, each team’s ability to capitalize during crucial moments will be paramount. Fans eagerly await which team's strategy will prevail when it truly counts.

Result by half

1st Half
Win%
36%
40%
Draw%
36%
24%
Loss%
28%
36%
2nd Half
Win%
36%
36%
Draw%
40%
32%
Loss%
24%
32%

As the season unfolds, Derby County and Wrexham are crafting their narratives with captivating twists. Both teams boast a commendable 38% win rate in the first half, but the similarities fade as Derby's resilience shines through their 42% draw rate, compared to Wrexham’s 29%. While Derby struggles more in the loss department with a 29% average, Wrexham's larger first-half loss rate of 37% hints at vulnerabilities. In a stunning twist, Wrexham has surged in the second half, achieving a 38% win rate. Derby, in contrast, lags slightly behind with 33%. As the two clubs battle through the season, fans eagerly await their next chapters, filled with drama and excitement.

First goal

52%
56%

Statistics on the percentage of matches, where Derby County and Wrexham scored first in the Championship of the 2025/2026 season

As the season unfolds, Derby County and Wrexham battle fiercely, each striving for supremacy. Wrexham edges out slightly, scoring first in 54% of matches, while Derby follows closely with 50%. This small gap showcases the competitive spirit. Meanwhile, each goal creates ripples of anticipation among fans. As the teams chase victories, it’s clear every early strike counts. Will Wrexham maintain their lead, or will Derby rise to the occasion? The narrative is just beginning!

Cards statistics

Cards per match
Total cards / match
Derby County DER Wrexham WRE
4
2
2

Total cards per match for Derby County and Wrexham at the tournament Championship in 2025/2026 season.

Total Cards
Over 1.5
96%
80%
88%
Over 2.5
80%
68%
74%
Over 3.5
52%
56%
54%
Over 4.5
36%
32%
34%
Over 5.5
20%
20%
20%
Over 6.5
12%
4%
8%
Over 7.5
8%
4%
6%
Team Cards
Over 0.5
100%
84%
92%
Over 1.5
80%
48%
64%
Over 2.5
28%
28%
28%
Over 3.5
16%
8%
12%
Over 4.5
12%
8%
10%
Cards Against Team
Cards Against Team
Derby County DER Wrexham WRE Average
Over 0.5
80%
76%
78%
Over 1.5
48%
52%
50%
Over 2.5
20%
28%
24%
Over 3.5
16%
16%
16%
Over 4.5
8%
8%
8%

As the season unfolds, Derby County and Wrexham showcase intriguing parallels in their discipline on the pitch. Both teams average two cards per match, a statistic that speaks to their competitive nature. Yet, Derby County edges ahead with a striking 96% rate of exceeding 1.5 cards in matches, while Wrexham lags slightly at 79%. In a stunning twist, Derby's players are involved in more card-heavy encounters, with 50% of games seeing over 3.5 cards. Meanwhile, Wrexham shows resilience with their own disciplined play, managing over 0.5 cards in 83% of matches. As they both battle for dominance, each game promises intensity and excitement for their dedicated fans.

Trends

Derby County

5 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in all tournaments ended with its victory in the 1st half

Derby County

5 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in Championship ended with its victory in the 1st half

Wrexham

3 / 10 of the last matches Wrexham in Championship ended with its defeat in the 1st half

Derby County

4 / 10 of her last matches Derby County in all competitions ended in defeat

Derby County

4 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship ended in defeat

Wrexham

4 / 10 of last matches Wrexham in all tournaments ended with her victory

Wrexham

4 / 10 of last matches Wrexham in Championship ended with her victory

Derby County

2 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in Championship ended with its defeat in the 1st half

Wrexham

3 / 10 of the last matches Wrexham in all tournaments ended with its victory in the 1st half

Wrexham

3 / 10 of the last matches Wrexham in Championship ended with its victory in the 1st half

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