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Derby County - Stoke City prediction
Match predictions
After discovering the full review of the match, our accurate Derby County vs Stoke City predictions are based on statistical analysis and it is evident that Double chance - 12 is the best choice for this game.
Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 06.04.2026 19:41
Match preview
The Derby County vs Stoke City match in the England Championship is set to begin on 06.04 at 10:00. For those interested in sports betting, they can use in-depth Derby County Stoke City betting tips by analyzing the statistics and making a prediction for the match.
H2H and previous results
Teams have faced each other in a total of 32 games, in which their last meeting took place on 09.08.25 with score 3:1, with Derby County winning 14, Stoke City winning 11, and 7 games in a draw. So far, the goal difference between the teams is 45-36.
H2H Statistics
Derby County
Stoke City
![Stoke City]()
14 wins
7 draws
11 wins
Comparison stat
Get the latest details on the past 10 matches between Derby County and Stoke City, including the number of wins, draws, losses, goals scored, and goals given up.
Derby County
Stoke City
![Stoke City]()
10
Matches
5 - Wins
0 - Draws
5 - Loses
Goal Difference
0
14
14
Scored
Conceded
-2
15
17
10
Matches
Wins - 3
Draws - 2
Loses - 5
Derby County review
This season, Derby County has played 10 times in the Championship. They have earned 5 wins, 5 losses, and 0 draws at home, with 5 victories. The team is currently in 8 place in the standings. On average, they score 14 and concede 9 goals, making their goal difference +5. When playing at their home stadium, Derby County usually scores 39.1 goals per game, and 7 of their matches have seen both teams score, which is 70%. It typically takes them 39.1 minutes to score a goal at home.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Morris, Carlton, Agyemang, Patrick, Brewster, Rhian, Brereton, Ben, Clarke, Matt, Salvesen, Lars-Jorgen, Clark, Bobby, Szmodics, Sammie, Langas, Sondre Klingen, Elder, Callum, Weimann, Andreas, Ozoh, David, Sanderson, Dion, Ward, Joe, Thompson, Liam, Forsyth, Craig
Stoke City review
In this season's Championship tournament, the Stoke City played 10 games. Out of these away matches, the club won 2, in total winning 3, losing 4 and drawing 3. Stoke City scored 6 goals and conceded 11, resulting in a goal difference of -5. The team is currently in the 12 position in the table. On average, 52.9 goals are scored in each of Stoke City's away matches. In 3 matches both teams scored, which is 30%. Stoke City players take approximately 52.9 minutes to score away.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Thomas, Sorba, Manhoef, Million, Mubama, Divin, Baker, Lewis, Wilmot, Ben, Joon-ho, Bae, Gallagher, Sam, Rak-Sakyi, Jesuran, Cisse, Mohamed Lamine, Smit, Milan, Lawal, Bosun, Tchamadeu, Junior, Nzonzi, Steven, Pearson, Ben, Bozenik, Robert, Rigo, Tomas, Gibson, Ben.
Standings
| # | Team | G | Pts | W | D | L | G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Derby County
|
40 | 60 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 58:51 |
| 12 |
Stoke City
|
40 | 54 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 48:43 |
Standings tracker
Derby County
Stoke City
![Stoke City]()
8
Position
17
46
Round
46
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Derby County
DRAW
Stoke City
Will both teams score?
YES
50%
NO
50%
Who will score first?
Derby County
No goal
34%
Stoke City
Prematch stats
Derby County
Stoke City
![Stoke City]()
10
Matches
5 - Wins
0 - Draws
5 - Loses
Goal Difference
0
14
14
Scored
Conceded
-2
15
17
10
Matches
Wins - 3
Draws - 2
Loses - 5
Derby County shows more grit with 17 wins from 39 matches, while Stoke City fights hard but only grabs 14 victories in the same games. Derby's fans cheer louder as their team scores 56 goals, outpacing Stoke's 46 strikes that echo determination.
Both teams draw 9 times, yet Derby slips with 13 losses against Stoke's 16 defeats. Derby concedes 48 goals, more than Stoke's 43, highlighting Derby's bold attack versus Stoke's tougher defense in these tense battles.
Scored
Full time
1st Half / 2nd Half
Over 0.5
90%
65%
Over 1.5
38%
33%
Over 2.5
13%
18%
Over 3.5
3%
3%
Failed to score
10%
35%
Statistics of Derby County matches and Stoke City matches within the tournament Championship.
Derby County, with their relentless attacking flair, averages a dynamic 1.44 goals per match, outpacing Stoke City's more cautious 1.18, making Derby the bolder force on the pitch. While both sides often see games exceed 0.5 goals—Derby in a whopping 90% versus Stoke's 64%—Derby shines brighter, hitting over 1.5 goals in 36 games against Stoke's 31, and failing to score just 10 times compared to Stoke's dismal 36. This resilience highlights Derby's fiery spirit, always ready to strike in either half, averaging 0.69 goals early and 0.74 late, painting them as the more electrifying team.
Yet, Stoke City fights back with grit, matching Derby's 21 games where they scored in both halves, though their averages dip to 0.56 in the first and 0.62 in the second, suggesting a slower burn. In high-scoring affairs over 2.5 goals, Stoke edges close with 18 games to Derby's 13, showing they can erupt unexpectedly. Overall, Derby's superior consistency makes them the thrilling frontrunners, while Stoke's defensive edge hints at potential upsets—will their underdog heart flip the script?
Conceded
Stoke City is +19% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Full time
1st Half / 2nd Half
Over 0.5
75%
68%
Over 1.5
30%
30%
Over 2.5
15%
8%
Over 3.5
5%
3%
Clean sheets
25%
33%
Statistics of Derby County matches and Stoke City matches within the tournament Championship.
Derby County and Stoke City both fight hard on defense, but Stoke edges ahead. They concede just 1.1 goals per match, tougher than Derby's 1.23. Stoke also boasts 31% clean sheets, meaning games without any goals against, versus Derby's 26%. This makes Stoke's backline more resilient in key moments.
In the first half, Stoke shines with 72% clean sheets, better than Derby's 56%, showing early control. Derby fights back in the second half with fewer conceded goals at 0.67 versus Stoke's 0.72. Overall, these Rams and Potters display fierce defensive spirit, with Stoke holding a slight upper hand.
Goals handicap
Full time
1st Half
2nd Half
Derby County shows real grit in full-time play, hitting +2.5 handicap at 79 percent, while Stoke City lags at 69 percent. Derby's +1.5 sits strong at 87 percent, matching Stoke, but Derby edges out in +0.5 at 67 percent versus Stoke's 59. This makes Derby look feisty and ready for big wins.
In the first half, Derby roars with +1.5 at 97 percent, topping Stoke's 92 percent, showing early dominance. Second half, both teams tie at +1.5 with 87 percent, but Derby's +0.5 at 74 percent beats Stoke's 64, proving Derby's lasting energy in tight games.
Goals by Time Period
10 mins
15 mins
Derby County
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
9%
5%
16%
11 - 20 mins
9%
14%
6%
21 - 30 mins
6%
5%
8%
31 - 40 mins
10%
10%
10%
41 - 50 mins
13%
17%
8%
51 - 60 mins
8%
12%
4%
61 - 70 mins
11%
14%
10%
71 - 80 mins
13%
10%
16%
81 - 90+ mins
21%
13%
22%
Stoke City
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
8%
13%
2%
11 - 20 mins
10%
6%
14%
21 - 30 mins
8%
8%
7%
31 - 40 mins
8%
15%
0%
41 - 50 mins
18%
19%
21%
51 - 60 mins
10%
6%
14%
61 - 70 mins
8%
8%
7%
71 - 80 mins
12%
13%
14%
81 - 90+ mins
18%
12%
21%
Derby County
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
13%
12%
18%
16 - 30 mins
12%
12%
12%
31 - 45 mins
15%
17%
14%
46 - 60 mins
15%
22%
8%
61 - 75 mins
16%
21%
16%
76 - 90+ mins
29%
16%
32%
Derby County
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
14%
15%
14%
16 - 30 mins
11%
13%
9%
31 - 45 mins
14%
19%
12%
46 - 60 mins
22%
21%
23%
61 - 75 mins
11%
15%
9%
76 - 90+ mins
28%
17%
33%
Derby County jumps into action early, scoring 13% in the first 15 minutes. Stoke City matches that with 15%. Derby then surges late, claiming 30% in the final 15 minutes while Stoke hits 29%. These teams battle fiercely in the closing moments, making games exciting.
In the middle, Derby keeps pressure with 15% from 46 to 60 minutes. Stoke responds strong at 21% in the same period. Both clubs show heart and skill, turning matches into nail-biters as they chase victory in soccer's tense hours.
Result by half
1st Half
2nd Half
Derby County often starts strong, winning 38% of first halves, showing their fierce drive. Stoke City prefers draws, hitting 46% in the first half, which keeps games tight. Derby loses less than Stoke here, with 29% versus 21%, making Derby's attack more lively early on.
In the second half, Derby keeps the pressure up, drawing 41% and winning 33%, proving their resilient style. Stoke struggles more, losing 36% compared to Derby's 26%, so Derby finishes games with more grit. This edge highlights Derby's dynamic edge over Stoke's uneven play.
First goal
Statistics on the percentage of matches, where Derby County and Stoke City scored first in the Championship of the 2025/2026 season
Derby County jumps ahead fast, scoring first in 54% of matches. They show a bold attack from the start.
Stoke City lags behind at 49%. This gives Derby a slight edge in those crucial opening moments.
Cards statistics
Cards per match
Total cards per match for Derby County and Stoke City at the tournament Championship in 2025/2026 season.
Total Cards
Team Cards
Cards Against Team
Derby County and Stoke City both average 2 cards per match, showing their fierce battles on the pitch. Derby hits over 1.5 cards in 92% of games, just behind Stoke's 95%, which highlights Stoke's tougher edge in drawing referee attention. For over 3.5 cards, Derby stands at 54% while Stoke is at 44%, proving Derby's games often explode with more drama and intensity.
When it comes to team cards, Derby leads with over 1.5 at 72% compared to Stoke's 62%, suggesting Derby players dive into challenges with more passion. Against them, Stoke sees over 1.5 cards at 51%, edging Derby's 54%, which means opponents find it slightly harder to stay clean against Stoke's defense. These stats paint both teams as gritty fighters in the league.
Trends
5 / 10 of her last matches Derby County in all competitions ended in defeat
5 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship ended in defeat
3 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a victory Derby County
5 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Stoke City did not lose
6 / 10 of last matches in Championship Stoke City did not lose
5 / 10 of last matches Derby County in all tournaments ended with her victory
5 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship ended with her victory
4 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in victory Derby County
5 / 10 of her last matches Stoke City in all competitions ended in defeat
4 / 10 of last matches Stoke City in Championship ended in defeat
