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Millwall - Derby County prediction

Championship

Championship

Round 37
Tue 10 Mar 2026 - 15:45
Finished
1
0

Match predictions

After uncovering the full review for this game, we can confidently say that the Millwall vs Derby County prediction is precise. With facts and data-driven analysis, it is clear that the 1x2 - W1 will be the most successful wager choice for this event.

10/03/2026

Millwall Millwall
15:45
Derby County Derby County
Bet: 1x2 - W1
Odds: 1.97

Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 10.03.2026 19:40

Match preview

The Millwall vs Derby County match in the England Championship is set to begin on 10.03 at 15:45. For those interested in sports betting, they can use in-depth Millwall Derby County betting tips by analyzing the statistics and making a prediction for the match.

H2H and previous results

Overall, teams have faced each other in a total of 39 games. The last game between the two teams was on 10.12.25, and Millwall emerged as the victor with a score of 1:1. Out of all the games, Millwall won 15, Derby County won 11, and the two teams tied in 13. In terms of total goals, Millwall has 45-40 more goals than Derby County.

H2H Statistics

Millwall Millwall
Derby County Derby County
38%
33%
28%
15 wins 13 draws 11 wins

Comparison stat

Get the latest details on the past 10 matches between Millwall and Derby County, including the number of wins, draws, losses, goals scored, and goals given up.

Millwall Millwall
Derby County Derby County
10 Matches

7 - Wins

1 - Draws

2 - Loses

Goal Difference

+13

21

8

Scored

Conceded

+7

19

12

10 Matches

Wins - 6

Draws - 1

Loses - 3

2.1
Goals scored per match
1.9
0.8
Goals conceded per match
1.2
31
Minutes/Goal scored
29
2.9
Match goals average
3.1
29
Goals Scored
31

Millwall review

This season, Millwall has played 10 times in the Championship. They have earned 7 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draws at home, with 6 victories. The team is currently in 3 place in the standings. On average, they score 18 and concede 11 goals, making their goal difference +7. When playing at their home stadium, Millwall usually scores 31 goals per game, and 6 of their matches have seen both teams score, which is 60%. It typically takes them 31 minutes to score a goal at home.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Azeez, Femi, Ivanovic, Mihailo, Coburn, Josh, Cooper, Jake, Langstaff, Macaulay, Neghli, Camiel, Bannan, Barry, Cundle, Luke, Crama, Tristan, Taylor, Caleb, Emakhu, Aidomo, Bangura-Williams, Raees, Sturge, Zak, Ballo, Thierno, De Norre, Casper, Leonard, Ryan

Derby County review

This season, the Derby County has played 10 games in the Championship tournament, and won 5 meetings. They have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1 times in total. They have scored 18 goals and conceded 13, giving them a goal difference of +5. They are currently in the 7 spot in the table. On average, 29 goals are scored by both teams in Derby County away matches. Also, 60% of matches feature both teams scoring, with 6 of games in total. Additionally, it takes 29 minutes of game time for the away team to score.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Morris, Carlton, Agyemang, Patrick, Brewster, Rhian, Brereton, Ben, Clarke, Matt, Salvesen, Lars-Jorgen, Clark, Bobby, Langas, Sondre Klingen, Szmodics, Sammie, Elder, Callum, Weimann, Andreas, Ozoh, David, Sanderson, Dion, Ward, Joe, Thompson, Liam, Forsyth, Craig.

Standings

# Team G Pts W D L G
3 Millwall Millwall 36 65 19 8 9 50:41
7 Derby County Derby County 36 54 15 9 12 54:47

Standings tracker

Millwall Millwall
Derby County Derby County
3 Position 8
46 Round 46
Previous | Next round

Prematch stats

Millwall Millwall
Derby County Derby County
10 Matches

7 - Wins

1 - Draws

2 - Loses

Goal Difference

+13

21

8

Scored

Conceded

+7

19

12

10 Matches

Wins - 6

Draws - 1

Loses - 3

2.1
Goals scored per match
1.9
0.8
Goals conceded per match
1.2
31
Minutes/Goal scored
29
2.9
Match goals average
3.1
29
Goals Scored
31

Scored

Derby County Derby County is +8% Better in terms of Goals scored.
Millwall MIL
1.39 Goals / match
Derby County DER
1.5 Goals / match
Scored per game
Millwall MIL Derby County DER
Over 0.5
81%
92%
Over 1.5
42%
39%
Over 2.5
14%
14%
Over 3.5
3%
3%
Failed to score
19%
8%
Scored 1st/2nd Half
Millwall MIL Derby County DER
Scored in 1H
47%
53%
Scored in 2H
56%
61%
Scored in both halves
22%
22%
Scored average 1H
0.56
0.69
Scored average 2H
0.83
0.81

Statistics of Millwall matches and Derby County matches within the tournament Championship.

Conceded

Millwall Millwall is +15% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Millwall MIL
1.14 Conceded / match
Derby County DER
1.31 Conceded / match
Conceded / game
Millwall MIL Derby County DER
Over 0.5
61%
78%
Over 1.5
31%
31%
Over 2.5
17%
14%
Over 3.5
6%
6%
Clean sheets
39%
22%
Conceded / game
Millwall MIL Derby County DER
1H Clean sheet
67%
56%
2H Clean sheet
56%
50%
Conceded in both halves
17%
17%
Conceded average 1H
0.42
0.58
Conceded average 2H
0.72
0.72

Statistics of Millwall matches and Derby County matches within the tournament Championship.

Goals handicap

Full time
Handicap
Millwall MIL Derby County DER
+2.5
89%
81%
+1.5
78%
86%
+0.5
75%
67%
-0.5
53%
42%
-1.5
22%
14%
-2.5
8%
6%
1st Half
Handicap
Millwall MIL Derby County DER
+1.5
92%
97%
+0.5
83%
72%
-0.5
31%
36%
-1.5
8%
6%
2nd Half
Handicap
Millwall MIL Derby County DER
+1.5
86%
86%
+0.5
78%
72%
-0.5
36%
36%
-1.5
14%
11%

Goals by Time Period

Millwall Millwall
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
3%
2%
5%
11 - 20 mins
12%
14%
15%
21 - 30 mins
8%
8%
7%
31 - 40 mins
5%
10%
0%
41 - 50 mins
14%
8%
22%
51 - 60 mins
9%
8%
12%
61 - 70 mins
7%
6%
10%
71 - 80 mins
10%
16%
2%
81 - 90+ mins
32%
28%
27%
Derby County Derby County
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
9%
4%
17%
11 - 20 mins
9%
15%
4%
21 - 30 mins
7%
6%
9%
31 - 40 mins
10%
9%
11%
41 - 50 mins
12%
17%
6%
51 - 60 mins
9%
13%
4%
61 - 70 mins
11%
15%
9%
71 - 80 mins
13%
9%
17%
81 - 90+ mins
20%
12%
23%
Millwall Millwall
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
11%
10%
12%
16 - 30 mins
13%
14%
15%
31 - 45 mins
8%
12%
2%
46 - 60 mins
21%
14%
32%
61 - 75 mins
13%
20%
10%
76 - 90+ mins
34%
30%
29%
Derby County Millwall
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
12%
11%
17%
16 - 30 mins
13%
13%
13%
31 - 45 mins
13%
15%
13%
46 - 60 mins
16%
24%
9%
61 - 75 mins
16%
22%
15%
76 - 90+ mins
30%
15%
33%

Result by half

1st Half
Win%
31%
36%
Draw%
53%
36%
Loss%
16%
28%
2nd Half
Win%
36%
36%
Draw%
42%
36%
Loss%
22%
28%

First goal

53%
53%

Statistics on the percentage of matches, where Millwall and Derby County scored first in the Championship of the 2025/2026 season

Cards statistics

Cards per match
Total cards / match
Millwall MIL Derby County DER
4
2
2

Total cards per match for Millwall and Derby County at the tournament Championship in 2025/2026 season.

Total Cards
Over 1.5
86%
92%
89%
Over 2.5
81%
75%
78%
Over 3.5
56%
53%
54%
Over 4.5
42%
33%
37%
Over 5.5
17%
19%
18%
Over 6.5
3%
14%
8%
Over 7.5
3%
8%
5%
Team Cards
Over 0.5
89%
94%
91%
Over 1.5
58%
72%
65%
Over 2.5
31%
25%
28%
Over 3.5
17%
14%
15%
Over 4.5
3%
11%
7%
Cards Against Team
Cards Against Team
Millwall MIL Derby County DER Average
Over 0.5
83%
81%
82%
Over 1.5
58%
53%
55%
Over 2.5
28%
22%
25%
Over 3.5
8%
17%
12%
Over 4.5
6%
6%
6%

Trends

Millwall

9 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Millwall did not draw

Millwall

9 / 10 of last matches in Championship Millwall did not draw

Millwall Derby County

7 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a win

Derby County

9 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Derby County did not draw

Derby County

9 / 10 of last matches in Championship Derby County did not draw

Millwall

5 / 10 of last matches Millwall in all competitions, at least one team did not score

Millwall

5 / 10 of last matches Millwall in Championship, at least one team has not scored

Millwall Derby County

5 / 10 of the last matches between the teams, at least one of the teams did not score

Derby County

4 / 10 of last matches Derby County in all competitions, at least one team did not score

Derby County

4 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship, at least one team has not scored

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