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Derby County - Middlesbrough prediction

Match predictions

By examining the details using statistical and analytical methods, we have determined that the 1x2 - W2 is the best potential outcome for the Derby County versus Middlesbrough matchup. With a comprehensive review of the match already completed, our predictions are reliable.

01/01/2026

Derby County Derby County
10:00
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Bet: 1x2 - W2
Odds: 2.35

Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 01.01.2026 18:40

Match preview

The upcoming Championship (England) clash between Derby County and Middlesbrough will be taking place on 01.01 at 10:00. Sports bettors can review detailed Derby County v Middlesbrough betting tips and analysis of both teams' statistics to make an informed prediction for the match.

H2H and previous results

Overall, teams have faced each other in a total of 43 games. The last game between the two teams was on 29.11.25, and Derby County emerged as the victor with a score of 2:1. Out of all the games, Derby County won 11, Middlesbrough won 23, and the two teams tied in 9. In terms of total goals, Derby County has 48-73 more goals than Middlesbrough.

H2H Statistics

Derby County Derby County
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
26%
21%
53%
11 wins 9 draws 23 wins

Comparison stat

You can learn about the last 10 games between Derby County and Middlesbrough, including the wins, losses, draws, and the number of goals each team scored and allowed.

Derby County Derby County
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
10 Matches

3 - Wins

3 - Draws

4 - Loses

Goal Difference

0

15

15

Scored

Conceded

+3

16

13

10 Matches

Wins - 5

Draws - 2

Loses - 3

1.5
Goals scored per match
1.6
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1.3
30
Minutes/Goal scored
31
3
Match goals average
2.9
30
Goals Scored
29

Derby County review

The club Derby County has competed in 10 events during the current Championship season. Of these, Derby County has 3 wins, 4 losses, and 3 draws at home. This record has placed the team at 14 place in the standings. The average number of goals scored and conceded by Derby County at home is 11 and 12, giving a difference of -1. The average goal scored by teams when Derby County is playing at home is 39.1. In matches hosted by Derby County, there have been 7 occasions in which both teams scored, which is equivalent to 70%. As for the time it takes Derby County to score a goal at home, it averages 39.1 minutes.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Morris, Carlton, Agyemang, Patrick, Brewster, Rhian, Salvesen, Lars-Jorgen, Langas, Sondre Klingen, Adams, Ebou, Elder, Callum, Weimann, Andreas, Brereton, Ben, Clarke, Matt, Ozoh, David, Sanderson, Dion, Ward, Joe, Thompson, Liam

Middlesbrough review

This season, the Middlesbrough played 10 games in the Championship tournament, winning 3 away matches and 5, losing 3 and drawing 2 overall. So far, the team has scored 12 goals and conceded 13, with a goal difference of -1. Middlesbrough is presently in the 2 position in the standings. On average, 36 goals are scored in Middlesbrough away matches, with 6 of these games featuring a goal from each team (which is 60%). Players need about 36 minutes of game time to score away.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Whittaker, Morgan, Hackney, Hayden, Conway, Tommy, Strelec, David, Fry, Dael, Targett, Matt, Sene, Mamadou Kaly, McGree, Riley, Jones, Alfie, Burgzorg, Delano, Hansen, Sontje, Ayling, Luke, Gilbert, Alexander.

Standings

# Team G Pts W D L G
2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 24 43 12 7 5 33:25
14 Derby County Derby County 24 32 8 8 8 33:33

Standings tracker

Derby County Derby County
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
8 Position 5
46 Round 46
Previous | Next round

Prematch stats

Derby County Derby County
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
10 Matches

3 - Wins

3 - Draws

4 - Loses

Goal Difference

0

15

15

Scored

Conceded

+3

16

13

10 Matches

Wins - 5

Draws - 2

Loses - 3

1.5
Goals scored per match
1.6
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1.3
30
Minutes/Goal scored
31
3
Match goals average
2.9
30
Goals Scored
29

This season, the clash between Derby County and Middlesbrough has been electric. Derby’s record shows 8 wins from 23 matches, slightly trailing behind Middlesbrough, who boast an impressive 12 victories. The Rams have netted 32 goals, averaging 1.39 per match, while the Boro outpace them with 33 goals, averaging 1.43. Meanwhile, Derby's defense has leaked just one more goal than they’ve scored, with a ratio of 1.34 conceded per match. In a stunning twist, Middlesbrough’s backline shines brighter, conceding only 24 goals—an average of 1.04 per game. With Derby’s total goals standing at 63, compared to Middlesbrough’s 57, every fixture resonates with potential and drama, as both teams push for supremacy in this fiercely contested battle.

Scored

Derby County is +0% Better in terms of Goals scored.
Derby County DER
1.38 Goals / match
Middlesbrough MID
1.38 Goals / match
Scored per game
Derby County DER Middlesbrough MID
Over 0.5
92%
75%
Over 1.5
33%
46%
Over 2.5
13%
13%
Over 3.5
0%
4%
Failed to score
8%
25%
Scored 1st/2nd Half
Derby County DER Middlesbrough MID
Scored in 1H
54%
38%
Scored in 2H
63%
54%
Scored in both halves
25%
17%
Scored average 1H
0.63
0.67
Scored average 2H
0.75
0.71

Statistics of Derby County matches and Middlesbrough matches within the tournament Championship.

As the season unfolds, Derby County and Middlesbrough engage in a captivating tug-of-war. Derby averages 1.39 goals per match, slightly trailing behind Middlesbrough's 1.43. However, Derby thrives in the second half, netting 65 goals post-break, while Middlesbrough manages 57. Surprisingly, Derby scored in both halves 26 times, showcasing their relentless energy. Meanwhile, Middlesbrough’s inconsistency shows in their 22 matches without a goal. As both clubs forge ahead, fans can expect fierce battles and thrilling finishes, proving that every match is a fresh opportunity.

Conceded

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough is +33% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Derby County DER
1.38 Conceded / match
Middlesbrough MID
1.04 Conceded / match
Conceded / game
Derby County DER Middlesbrough MID
Over 0.5
83%
75%
Over 1.5
29%
17%
Over 2.5
17%
8%
Over 3.5
4%
4%
Clean sheets
17%
25%
Conceded / game
Derby County DER Middlesbrough MID
1H Clean sheet
58%
54%
2H Clean sheet
50%
54%
Conceded in both halves
8%
17%
Conceded average 1H
0.58
0.54
Conceded average 2H
0.79
0.5

Statistics of Derby County matches and Middlesbrough matches within the tournament Championship.

This season's battle between Derby County and Middlesbrough has unveiled intriguing contrasts. Derby struggles defensively, conceding 1.35 goals per match, while Middlesbrough demonstrates fortitude, allowing just 1.04. The Rams' defense has a shaky 17% clean sheet record, significantly lower than Middlesbrough’s 26%. Excitingly, Derby boasts a dramatic first-half clean sheet rate of 61%, but they falter in the second half with 48%. In a stunning twist, both teams stand similarly in conceding averages during the opening half, at 0.52 goals. As the season progresses, fans are left wondering which side will tighten their defense and seize the upper hand.

Goals handicap

Full time
Handicap
Derby County DER Middlesbrough MID
+2.5
79%
88%
+1.5
88%
88%
+0.5
67%
79%
-0.5
33%
50%
-1.5
8%
13%
-2.5
4%
8%
1st Half
Handicap
Derby County DER Middlesbrough MID
+1.5
96%
96%
+0.5
71%
58%
-0.5
38%
33%
-1.5
4%
17%
2nd Half
Handicap
Derby County DER Middlesbrough MID
+1.5
83%
100%
+0.5
75%
75%
-0.5
33%
33%
-1.5
4%
8%

This season, the competition between Derby County and Middlesbrough has ignited passion among fans. Derby County boasts an impressive first-half handicap record with a staggering 96% success at +1.5, showcasing their early dominance. Meanwhile, Middlesbrough matches that intensity, also with 96%, proving that their start is equally fiery. However, the second half tells a different tale; Middlesbrough shines with a perfect 100% at +1.5. Derby's performance falters slightly there, dropping to 83%. As both teams gear up for their next clash, the anticipation builds—who will seize the momentum and steer their season toward success?

Goals by Time Period

Derby County Derby County
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
9%
6%
15%
11 - 20 mins
6%
9%
3%
21 - 30 mins
9%
9%
9%
31 - 40 mins
11%
9%
12%
41 - 50 mins
9%
15%
3%
51 - 60 mins
12%
18%
6%
61 - 70 mins
11%
12%
9%
71 - 80 mins
14%
9%
18%
81 - 90+ mins
19%
13%
25%
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
7%
6%
8%
11 - 20 mins
10%
3%
20%
21 - 30 mins
9%
3%
16%
31 - 40 mins
12%
18%
4%
41 - 50 mins
17%
24%
8%
51 - 60 mins
7%
12%
0%
61 - 70 mins
9%
6%
12%
71 - 80 mins
9%
9%
8%
81 - 90+ mins
20%
19%
24%
Derby County Derby County
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
11%
12%
15%
16 - 30 mins
12%
12%
12%
31 - 45 mins
14%
12%
15%
46 - 60 mins
18%
30%
6%
61 - 75 mins
15%
18%
18%
76 - 90+ mins
30%
16%
34%
Middlesbrough Derby County
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
12%
6%
20%
16 - 30 mins
12%
6%
24%
31 - 45 mins
16%
24%
4%
46 - 60 mins
21%
30%
8%
61 - 75 mins
12%
9%
16%
76 - 90+ mins
27%
25%
28%

This season, Derby County has exhibited a thrilling flair for scoring late, with an impressive 29% of their goals coming in the final 15 minutes. Meanwhile, Middlesbrough has shown similar tenacity, grabbing 28% of their tallies in that crucial stretch. Derby's early-game firepower, particularly in the 71-80 minute range, showcases their ability to seize opportunities, reflecting on their 19% early spark. In stunning contrast, Middlesbrough has also maintained a solid presence, especially during the 41-50 minute mark with 24% of goals. As these two teams clash, expect an electric display of strategy and endurance, with thrilling moments at both ends of the pitch shaping the narrative of the match.

Result by half

1st Half
Win%
38%
33%
Draw%
33%
25%
Loss%
29%
42%
2nd Half
Win%
33%
33%
Draw%
42%
42%
Loss%
25%
25%

As the season unfolds, Derby County stands tall with a first-half winning percentage of 39%, edging out Middlesbrough's 35%. The tension on the pitch is palpable; Derby seems to thrive early, while Middlesbrough battles its tendency to concede. Meanwhile, both teams exhibit resilience after the break, with both clubs showing an identical 35% victory rate in the second half. However, Derby’s knack for securing draws, boasting a 39% stat compared to Middlesbrough’s 39%, highlights their ability to hold onto crucial points. This season, the stakes are sky-high, and each match could tip the balance for both teams in the relentless quest for glory.

First goal

50%
46%

Statistics on the percentage of matches, where Derby County and Middlesbrough scored first in the Championship of the 2025/2026 season

In a gripping season battle, Derby County edges ahead, scoring first in 52% of their matches, showcasing their killer instinct. Meanwhile, Middlesbrough, with a slightly lower 48%, still packs a punch, making every early goal a crucial factor in the race for supremacy. With both teams vying for glory, the early exchanges prove vital, setting the stage for thrilling encounters ahead.

Cards statistics

Cards per match
Total cards / match
Derby County DER Middlesbrough MID
4
2
2

Total cards per match for Derby County and Middlesbrough at the tournament Championship in 2025/2026 season.

Total Cards
Over 1.5
96%
83%
89%
Over 2.5
79%
71%
75%
Over 3.5
50%
58%
54%
Over 4.5
38%
42%
40%
Over 5.5
21%
17%
19%
Over 6.5
13%
17%
15%
Over 7.5
8%
13%
10%
Team Cards
Over 0.5
100%
75%
87%
Over 1.5
79%
46%
62%
Over 2.5
29%
29%
29%
Over 3.5
17%
8%
12%
Over 4.5
13%
8%
10%
Cards Against Team
Cards Against Team
Derby County DER Middlesbrough MID Average
Over 0.5
79%
83%
81%
Over 1.5
46%
71%
58%
Over 2.5
21%
38%
29%
Over 3.5
17%
21%
19%
Over 4.5
8%
13%
10%

This season, Derby County and Middlesbrough stand at a crossroads, both embodying the fierce spirit of competition in their own distinctive styles. Derby’s matches yield an average of two cards, with a remarkable 96% of games seeing over 1.5 cards, showcasing their aggressive approach. In contrast, Middlesbrough, maintaining a similar average, displays a slightly less frequent fouling rate, but impressively 83% of their matches also surpass the 1.5 mark. While Derby's tenacity often sees raucous clashes, with 52% of contests hitting over 3.5 cards, Middlesbrough’s disciplined play still gets heated, with their stats revealing a notable 70% for 1.5-plus cards. As the season unfolds, these clubs’ contrasting styles promise dramatic narratives on the pitch.

Trends

Derby County

6 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in all tournaments ended with its victory in the 1st half

Derby County

6 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in Championship ended with its victory in the 1st half

Derby County

2 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended with a victory Derby County in the 1st half

Middlesbrough

4 / 10 of the last matches Middlesbrough in Championship ended with its defeat in the 1st half

Derby County

3 / 10 of last matches Derby County in all tournaments ended with her victory

Derby County

3 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship ended with her victory

Derby County

3 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in victory Derby County

Middlesbrough

3 / 10 of her last matches Middlesbrough in all competitions ended in defeat

Middlesbrough

3 / 10 of last matches Middlesbrough in Championship ended in defeat

Derby County

7 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Derby County did not draw

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