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AD Ceuta - Malaga prediction
Match predictions
After uncovering the full review for this game, we can confidently say that the AD Ceuta vs Malaga prediction is precise. With facts and data-driven analysis, it is clear that the Double chance - 1X will be the most successful wager choice for this event.
Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 16.05.2026 19:43
Match preview
The match between AD Ceuta and Malaga, as part of the LaLiga 2 (Spain), is scheduled for 16.05 at 10:15. Betting enthusiasts can use the following analysis of teams' statistics and prediction to gain detailed insight into their betting decisions for the match.
H2H and previous results
Overall, teams have faced each other in a total of 4 games. The last game between the two teams was on 11.01.26, and AD Ceuta emerged as the victor with a score of 2:1. Out of all the games, AD Ceuta won 1, Malaga won 2, and the two teams tied in 1. In terms of total goals, AD Ceuta has 5-6 more goals than Malaga.
H2H Statistics
AD Ceuta
Malaga
![Malaga]()
1 wins
1 draws
2 wins
Comparison stat
Get the latest details on the past 10 matches between AD Ceuta and Malaga, including the number of wins, draws, losses, goals scored, and goals given up.
AD Ceuta
Malaga
![Malaga]()
General
Attack
Passing
Defending
Discipline
10
Matches
2 - Wins
5 - Draws
3 - Loses
Goal Difference
-5
11
16
Scored
Conceded
+8
24
16
10
Matches
Wins - 5
Draws - 3
Loses - 2
10.31
1.03
Expected goals (xG)
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
1.42
14.16
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
1.2
Big chances
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
2.3
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
Stats are shown as averages per match.
AD Ceuta review
So far this season, the AD Ceuta has played 10 matches, with 2 wins, 3 losses, and 5 draws. At home, they have 2 wins. This record has put the team in 11 place in the league. AD Ceuta has scored 14 goals and conceded 12 on average per match at their home stadium, making their goal difference +2. The average number of goals they have scored in their home matches is 34.6. Also, 70% of their home games have seen both teams score 7, and it takes AD Ceuta 34.6 minutes on average to score a goal in their matches at home.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Fernandez, Marcos, Zalazar, Kuki, Diez, Ruben, Matos, Jose, De La Fuente, Konrad, Kone, Kialy Abdoul, Lachhab, Youness, Rodriguez, Cristian, Hernandez, Carlos, Campana, Jose, Bodiger, Yann, Domenec, Marc, Caparros Guzman, Albert, Sanchez, Manu, Bassinga, Aboubacar
Malaga review
This season, the Malaga played 10 games in the LaLiga 2 tournament, winning 5 away matches and 5, losing 2 and drawing 3 overall. So far, the team has scored 20 goals and conceded 14, with a goal difference of +6. Malaga is presently in the 4 position in the standings. On average, 26.5 goals are scored in Malaga away matches, with 7 of these games featuring a goal from each team (which is 70%). Players need about 26.5 minutes of game time to score away.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Chupete, Nino, Adrian, Larrubia, David, Rodriguez, Rafa, Lorenzo, Dani, Jauregi Escobar, Eneko, Munoz, Joaquin, Lobete, Julen, Galilea, Einar, Murillo, Diego, Ochoa, Aaron, Dotor, Carlos, Montero, Francisco, Abaida, Haitam, Brasanac, Darko.
Standings
| # | Team | G | Pts | W | D | L | G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Malaga
|
39 | 66 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 68:50 |
| 11 |
AD Ceuta
|
39 | 55 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 47:59 |
Standings tracker
AD Ceuta
Malaga
![Malaga]()
10
Position
4
42
Round
42
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AD Ceuta
DRAW
Malaga
Will both teams score?
YES
50%
NO
50%
Who will score first?
AD Ceuta
No goal
34%
Malaga
Prematch stats
AD Ceuta
Malaga
![Malaga]()
General
Attack
Passing
Defending
Discipline
10
Matches
2 - Wins
5 - Draws
3 - Loses
Goal Difference
-5
11
16
Scored
Conceded
+8
24
16
10
Matches
Wins - 5
Draws - 3
Loses - 2
10.31
1.03
Expected goals (xG)
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
1.42
14.16
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
1.2
Big chances
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
2.3
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
Stats are shown as averages per match.
Scored
Full time
1st Half / 2nd Half
Over 0.5
71%
85%
Over 1.5
34%
51%
Over 2.5
11%
28%
Over 3.5
0%
8%
Failed to score
29%
15%
Statistics of AD Ceuta matches and Malaga matches within the tournament LaLiga 2.
Conceded
Malaga is +17% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Full time
1st Half / 2nd Half
Over 0.5
74%
74%
Over 1.5
42%
38%
Over 2.5
21%
15%
Over 3.5
11%
0%
Clean sheets
26%
26%
Statistics of AD Ceuta matches and Malaga matches within the tournament LaLiga 2.
Goals handicap
Full time
1st Half
2nd Half
Goals by Time Period
10 mins
15 mins
AD Ceuta
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
8%
9%
9%
11 - 20 mins
9%
11%
7%
21 - 30 mins
13%
18%
11%
31 - 40 mins
9%
9%
11%
41 - 50 mins
17%
18%
16%
51 - 60 mins
13%
5%
19%
61 - 70 mins
5%
5%
5%
71 - 80 mins
7%
9%
5%
81 - 90+ mins
19%
16%
17%
Malaga
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
4%
3%
6%
11 - 20 mins
8%
10%
4%
21 - 30 mins
8%
7%
10%
31 - 40 mins
11%
13%
10%
41 - 50 mins
8%
12%
4%
51 - 60 mins
15%
18%
12%
61 - 70 mins
9%
7%
14%
71 - 80 mins
6%
3%
12%
81 - 90+ mins
31%
27%
28%
AD Ceuta
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
13%
18%
11%
16 - 30 mins
16%
20%
16%
31 - 45 mins
18%
18%
19%
46 - 60 mins
21%
14%
26%
61 - 75 mins
8%
7%
9%
76 - 90+ mins
24%
23%
19%
AD Ceuta
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
9%
10%
8%
16 - 30 mins
10%
10%
12%
31 - 45 mins
13%
15%
12%
46 - 60 mins
19%
28%
14%
61 - 75 mins
12%
7%
20%
76 - 90+ mins
37%
30%
34%
Result by half
1st Half
2nd Half
First goal
Statistics on the percentage of matches, where AD Ceuta and Malaga scored first in the LaLiga 2 of the 2025/2026 season
Cards statistics
Cards per match
Total cards per match for AD Ceuta and Malaga at the tournament LaLiga 2 in 2025/2026 season.
Total Cards
Team Cards
Cards Against Team
Trends
3 / 10 of the last matches AD Ceuta in all tournaments ended with a loss in the 2nd half
3 / 10 of the last matches AD Ceuta in LaLiga 2 ended with its defeat in the 2nd half
5 / 10 of the last matches Malaga in all tournaments ended with its victory in the 2nd half
5 / 10 of the last matches Malaga in LaLiga 2 ended with its victory in the 2nd half
1 / 4 of the last matches between the teams ended with a victory Malaga in the 2nd half
3 / 10 of her last matches AD Ceuta in all competitions ended in defeat
3 / 10 of last matches AD Ceuta in LaLiga 2 ended in defeat
5 / 10 of last matches Malaga in all tournaments ended with her victory
5 / 10 of last matches Malaga in LaLiga 2 ended with her victory
1 / 4 of last matches between the teams ended in victory Malaga
