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Lugano - Basel prediction
Match predictions
By examining the details using statistical and analytical methods, we have determined that the 1x2 - W1 is the best potential outcome for the Lugano versus Basel matchup. With a comprehensive review of the match already completed, our predictions are reliable.
Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 17.05.2026 19:42
Match preview
The upcoming Switzerland Super League tournament includes a match between Lugano and Basel which will take place on 17.05 at 10:30. Sports bettors can find handy tips for this match by using the statistical analysis and predictions of the teams.
H2H and previous results
Teams have faced each other in a total of 45 games, in which their last meeting took place on 15.02.26 with score 1:1, with Lugano winning 11, Basel winning 20, and 14 games in a draw. So far, the goal difference between the teams is 55-88.
H2H Statistics
Lugano
Basel
![Basel]()
11 wins
14 draws
20 wins
Comparison stat
Find out about the last 10 matches between Lugano and Basel, including their wins, draws, losses, and the stats on goals scored and allowed.
Lugano
Basel
![Basel]()
General
Attack
Passing
Defending
Discipline
10
Matches
4 - Wins
3 - Draws
3 - Loses
Goal Difference
-1
11
12
Scored
Conceded
-5
14
19
10
Matches
Wins - 4
Draws - 1
Loses - 5
15.33
1.53
Expected goals (xG)
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
0.79
7.93
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
2.4
Big chances
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
2.1
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
Stats are shown as averages per match.
Lugano review
The club Lugano has competed in 10 events during the current Super League season. Of these, Lugano has 5 wins, 2 losses, and 3 draws at home. This record has placed the team at 3 place in the standings. The average number of goals scored and conceded by Lugano at home is 20 and 11, giving a difference of +9. The average goal scored by teams when Lugano is playing at home is 29. In matches hosted by Lugano, there have been 7 occasions in which both teams scored, which is equivalent to 70%. As for the time it takes Lugano to score a goal at home, it averages 29 minutes.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Behrens, Kevin, Grgic, Anto, Steffen, Renato, Koutsias, Georgios, Bislimi, Uran, Papadopoulos, Antonios, Dos Santos, Daniel, Cimignani, Yanis, Mahmoud, Mohamad Belhadj, Doumbia, Ousmane, Marques, Martim, Mahou, Hicham, Cassano, Claudio, Zanotti, Mattia, Delcroix, Hannes, Alioski, Ezgjan
Basel review
In this season's Super League tournament, the Basel played 10 games. Out of these away matches, the club won 5, in total winning 4, losing 5 and drawing 1. Basel scored 15 goals and conceded 21, resulting in a goal difference of -6. The team is currently in the 4 position in the table. On average, 25 goals are scored in each of Basel's away matches. In 6 matches both teams scored, which is 60%. Basel players take approximately 25 minutes to score away.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Shaqiri, Xherdan, Traore, Benie Adama, Otele, Philip, Metinho, Ajeti, Albian, Schmid, Dominik Robin, Salah, Ibrahim, Daniliuc, Flavius, Koindredi, Koba, Duranville, Julien, Koloto, Giacomo, Carlos, Kevin, Ze, Arlet, Leroy, Leo, Tsunemoto, Keigo, Broschinski, Moritz, Vouilloz, Nicolas.
Standings
| # | Team | G | Pts | W | D | L | G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Lugano
|
33 | 57 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 |
| 4 |
Basel
|
33 | 53 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 51:45 |
Standings tracker
Lugano
Basel
![Basel]()
3
Position
4
33
Round
33
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Lugano
DRAW
Basel
Will both teams score?
YES
50%
NO
50%
Who will score first?
Lugano
No goal
34%
Basel
Prematch stats
Lugano
Basel
![Basel]()
General
Attack
Passing
Defending
Discipline
10
Matches
4 - Wins
3 - Draws
3 - Loses
Goal Difference
-1
11
12
Scored
Conceded
-5
14
19
10
Matches
Wins - 4
Draws - 1
Loses - 5
15.33
1.53
Expected goals (xG)
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
0.79
7.93
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
per match
2.4
Big chances
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
2.1
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
Stats are shown as averages per match.
Scored
Full time
1st Half / 2nd Half
Over 0.5
89%
78%
Over 1.5
30%
43%
Over 2.5
16%
22%
Over 3.5
11%
5%
Failed to score
11%
22%
Statistics of Lugano matches and Basel matches within the tournament Super League.
Conceded
Lugano is +28% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Full time
1st Half / 2nd Half
Over 0.5
70%
76%
Over 1.5
30%
38%
Over 2.5
11%
24%
Over 3.5
3%
5%
Clean sheets
30%
24%
Statistics of Lugano matches and Basel matches within the tournament Super League.
Goals handicap
Full time
1st Half
2nd Half
Goals by Time Period
10 mins
15 mins
Lugano
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
4%
4%
5%
11 - 20 mins
12%
16%
12%
21 - 30 mins
6%
5%
7%
31 - 40 mins
6%
9%
2%
41 - 50 mins
11%
9%
14%
51 - 60 mins
10%
15%
5%
61 - 70 mins
23%
22%
24%
71 - 80 mins
7%
5%
12%
81 - 90+ mins
21%
15%
19%
Basel
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
6%
7%
6%
11 - 20 mins
11%
7%
15%
21 - 30 mins
6%
4%
9%
31 - 40 mins
8%
11%
6%
41 - 50 mins
12%
20%
7%
51 - 60 mins
15%
13%
20%
61 - 70 mins
12%
11%
15%
71 - 80 mins
7%
7%
7%
81 - 90+ mins
23%
20%
15%
Lugano
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
12%
15%
14%
16 - 30 mins
10%
11%
10%
31 - 45 mins
12%
15%
12%
46 - 60 mins
13%
18%
10%
61 - 75 mins
27%
25%
33%
76 - 90+ mins
26%
16%
21%
Lugano
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
10%
13%
9%
16 - 30 mins
13%
5%
20%
31 - 45 mins
15%
20%
11%
46 - 60 mins
20%
24%
22%
61 - 75 mins
14%
13%
17%
76 - 90+ mins
28%
25%
21%
Result by half
1st Half
2nd Half
First goal
Statistics on the percentage of matches, where Lugano and Basel scored first in the Super League of the 2025/2026 season
Cards statistics
Cards per match
Total cards per match for Lugano and Basel at the tournament Super League in 2025/2026 season.
Total Cards
Team Cards
Cards Against Team
Trends
4 / 10 of last matches Lugano in all competitions, at least one team did not score
4 / 10 of last matches Lugano in Super League, at least one team has not scored
4 / 10 of the last matches between the teams, at least one of the teams did not score
5 / 10 of last matches Basel in all competitions, at least one team did not score
5 / 10 of last matches Basel in Super League, at least one team has not scored
4 / 10 of last matches Lugano in all tournaments ended with her victory
5 / 10 of last matches Lugano in Super League ended with her victory
5 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in victory Lugano
5 / 10 of her last matches Basel in all competitions ended in defeat
5 / 10 of last matches Basel in Super League ended in defeat
