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Arouca - Estoril prediction

Liga Portugal

Liga Portugal

Round 28
Mon 6 Apr 2026 - 13:45
Finished
3
2

Match predictions

By examining the details using statistical and analytical methods, we have determined that the Both team to score - No is the best potential outcome for the Arouca versus Estoril matchup. With a comprehensive review of the match already completed, our predictions are reliable.

Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 06.04.2026 19:41

Match preview

The match between Arouca and Estoril, as part of the Liga Portugal (Portugal), is scheduled for 06.04 at 13:45. Betting enthusiasts can use the following analysis of teams' statistics and prediction to gain detailed insight into their betting decisions for the match.

H2H and previous results

Overall, teams have faced each other in a total of 26 games. The last game between the two teams was on 07.11.25, and Arouca emerged as the victor with a score of 4:3. Out of all the games, Arouca won 8, Estoril won 10, and the two teams tied in 8. In terms of total goals, Arouca has 33-43 more goals than Estoril.

H2H Statistics

Arouca Arouca
Estoril Estoril
31%
31%
38%
8 wins 8 draws 10 wins

Comparison stat

Find out about the last 10 matches between Arouca and Estoril, including their wins, draws, losses, and the stats on goals scored and allowed.

Arouca Arouca
Estoril Estoril
10 Matches

5 - Wins

0 - Draws

5 - Loses

Goal Difference

+3

16

13

Scored

Conceded

+5

20

15

10 Matches

Wins - 5

Draws - 2

Loses - 3

1.6
Goals scored per match
2
1.3
Goals conceded per match
1.5
31.1
Minutes/Goal scored
25.7
2.9
Match goals average
3.5
29
Goals Scored
35

Arouca review

This season, Arouca has played 10 times in the Liga Portugal. They have earned 5 wins, 5 losses, and 0 draws at home, with 3 victories. The team is currently in 11 place in the standings. On average, they score 12 and concede 19 goals, making their goal difference -7. When playing at their home stadium, Arouca usually scores 29.1 goals per game, and 5 of their matches have seen both teams score, which is 50%. It typically takes them 29.1 minutes to score a goal at home.
demonstrates a stable recovery of his performance.
Top scorers are: Trezza, Alfonso, Djouahra, Nais, Lee, Hyun-ju, Barbero, Fukui, Taichi, Fontán, Jose, Popovic, Boris, Van Ee, Espen, Esgaio, Tiago, Nandin, Dylan, Puche Garcia, Miguel

Estoril review

This season, the Estoril has played 10 games in the Liga Portugal tournament, and won 4 meetings. They have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2 times in total. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 18, giving them a goal difference of -1. They are currently in the 7 spot in the table. On average, 25.7 goals are scored by both teams in Estoril away matches. Also, 30% of matches feature both teams scoring, with 3 of games in total. Additionally, it takes 25.7 minutes of game time for the away team to score.
continues to show a good game.
Players with the greatest scores is: Begraoui, Yanis, Carvalho, Joao, Marques, Alejandro, Guitane, Rafik, Parente, Tiago Parreira, Sanchez, Ricard, Lominadze, Nodari, Ferreira Lacximicant, Andre Filipe, Ferro, Bacher, Felix, Holsgrove, Jordan William, Boma, Kevin, De Paula, Patrick.

Standings

# Team G Pts W D L G
7 Estoril Estoril 27 37 10 7 10 48:44
11 Arouca Arouca 27 29 8 5 14 34:55

Standings tracker

Arouca Arouca
Estoril Estoril
8 Position 10
34 Round 34
Previous | Next round

Prematch stats

Arouca Arouca
Estoril Estoril
10 Matches

5 - Wins

0 - Draws

5 - Loses

Goal Difference

+3

16

13

Scored

Conceded

+5

20

15

10 Matches

Wins - 5

Draws - 2

Loses - 3

1.6
Goals scored per match
2
1.3
Goals conceded per match
1.5
31.1
Minutes/Goal scored
25.7
2.9
Match goals average
3.5
29
Goals Scored
35

Arouca has played 27 matches, grabbing just 8 wins and suffering 14 losses. Estoril, with the same games, shines brighter with 10 wins and only 10 losses. This shows Estoril's fiercer fight on the field, drawing more often at 7 times against Arouca's 5.

Estoril scores with more flair, netting 48 goals while Arouca manages 34. Arouca concedes heavily at 55, making their defense shaky, compared to Estoril's tighter 44. In total, Estoril's matches burst with more goals, proving their dynamic edge.

Scored

Estoril Estoril is +41% Better in terms of Goals scored.
Arouca ARO
1.26 Goals / match
Estoril EST
1.78 Goals / match
Scored per game
Arouca ARO Estoril EST
Over 0.5
70%
70%
Over 1.5
33%
48%
Over 2.5
22%
33%
Over 3.5
0%
22%
Failed to score
30%
30%
Scored 1st/2nd Half
Arouca ARO Estoril EST
Scored in 1H
41%
67%
Scored in 2H
48%
48%
Scored in both halves
19%
44%
Scored average 1H
0.52
0.89
Scored average 2H
0.74
0.89

Statistics of Arouca matches and Estoril matches within the tournament Liga Portugal.

Diving into the stats, Arouca plods along with a modest 1.26 goals per match, while Estoril bursts forth with a more dynamic 1.78, showcasing their sharper attacking edge. Both clubs share a 70% rate for over 0.5 goals, but Estoril shines brighter, hitting over 1.5 in 48% of games versus Arouca's 33%, and they even push for over 2.5 in 33% compared to Arouca's mere 22%. Estoril's fiery offense scores in the first half a whopping 67 times, dwarfing Arouca's 41, making them early game predators while Arouca often fumbles that initial spark.

Yet, in the second half, Arouca rallies slightly with 48 scores matching Estoril's, but their averages lag behind—0.74 versus Estoril's consistent 0.89—highlighting Estoril's unyielding pressure. Arouca's failure to score in 30% of matches echoes Estoril's, yet Estoril's ability to net in both halves 44 times against Arouca's 19 paints them as the more relentless force, turning matches into thrilling spectacles of football flair.

Conceded

Estoril Estoril is +25% Better in terms of Conceded goals.
Arouca ARO
2.04 Conceded / match
Estoril EST
1.63 Conceded / match
Conceded / game
Arouca ARO Estoril EST
Over 0.5
78%
81%
Over 1.5
59%
52%
Over 2.5
37%
26%
Over 3.5
19%
4%
Clean sheets
22%
19%
Conceded / game
Arouca ARO Estoril EST
1H Clean sheet
44%
48%
2H Clean sheet
37%
44%
Conceded in both halves
41%
26%
Conceded average 1H
1.04
0.78
Conceded average 2H
1
0.85

Statistics of Arouca matches and Estoril matches within the tournament Liga Portugal.

Arouca's defense looks shaky, conceding 2.04 goals per match. They hit over 2.5 goals in 37% of games. Estoril stands firmer, allowing just 1.63 goals each time. Their matches rarely explode with over 3.5 goals at only 4%. Arouca grabs clean sheets 22% overall, while Estoril fights back with 48% in the first half.

Estoril's backline shines in the second half too, with 44% clean sheets. Arouca struggles more, conceding 1.04 goals in the first half against Estoril's 0.78. This shows Estoril as the tougher nut to crack. Fans will see the passion in these defensive battles on the pitch.

Goals handicap

Full time
Handicap
Arouca ARO Estoril EST
+2.5
67%
70%
+1.5
67%
81%
+0.5
48%
63%
-0.5
30%
37%
-1.5
11%
26%
-2.5
7%
11%
1st Half
Handicap
Arouca ARO Estoril EST
+1.5
81%
93%
+0.5
56%
67%
-0.5
22%
37%
-1.5
0%
15%
2nd Half
Handicap
Arouca ARO Estoril EST
+1.5
85%
89%
+0.5
56%
63%
-0.5
26%
30%
-1.5
11%
15%

Arouca fights hard but often falls short, with their full-time handicap at +2.5 hitting 67 percent. They shine in the first half at +1.5 with 81 percent. Estoril, full of energy, tops that at 81 percent for full-time +1.5 and leads in second half +1.5 at 89 percent. Estoril's stats show more spark overall.

Comparing the teams, Arouca lags in negative handicaps, like -0.5 at just 30 percent for full time. Estoril pushes harder, reaching 37 percent there. This means Estoril might edge out in tight games, making them a thrilling pick for fans seeking excitement on the pitch.

Goals by Time Period

Arouca Arouca
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
8%
15%
4%
11 - 20 mins
8%
6%
9%
21 - 30 mins
9%
3%
13%
31 - 40 mins
11%
9%
15%
41 - 50 mins
15%
15%
15%
51 - 60 mins
12%
18%
9%
61 - 70 mins
11%
12%
11%
71 - 80 mins
9%
18%
5%
81 - 90+ mins
17%
4%
19%
Estoril Estoril
10 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 10 mins
8%
4%
11%
11 - 20 mins
13%
13%
14%
21 - 30 mins
8%
10%
7%
31 - 40 mins
8%
6%
9%
41 - 50 mins
12%
19%
7%
51 - 60 mins
14%
15%
14%
61 - 70 mins
9%
13%
9%
71 - 80 mins
13%
10%
16%
81 - 90+ mins
15%
10%
13%
Arouca Arouca
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
13%
21%
13%
16 - 30 mins
9%
3%
13%
31 - 45 mins
15%
15%
18%
46 - 60 mins
22%
26%
20%
61 - 75 mins
17%
26%
13%
76 - 90+ mins
24%
9%
23%
Estoril Arouca
15 mins
Total goals
Scored
Conceded
0 - 15 mins
12%
10%
16%
16 - 30 mins
13%
17%
16%
31 - 45 mins
14%
19%
11%
46 - 60 mins
18%
21%
18%
61 - 75 mins
15%
21%
16%
76 - 90+ mins
28%
12%
23%

Arouca bursts onto the pitch with a fierce energy in the early minutes, grabbing 13% of their action right away, while Estoril starts a bit slower at 12%. Arouca shines late, dominating the 76-90 zone with 24%, showing their unstoppable drive. Estoril fights back strong in that same period with 28%, proving they are relentless warriors too. The comparisons highlight Arouca's second-half surge against Estoril's balanced attack, making every match a thrilling battle.

In the middle frames, Arouca peaks at 22% from 46-60 minutes, like a team on fire, but Estoril matches with 18% there, keeping the pressure on. Arouca's 17% in 61-75 shows steady push, while Estoril hits 15%, underlining their gritty style. These stats paint Arouca as late-game heroes and Estoril as consistent challengers, setting up exciting clashes where timing could decide the win.

Result by half

1st Half
Win%
22%
37%
Draw%
33%
30%
Loss%
45%
33%
2nd Half
Win%
26%
30%
Draw%
30%
33%
Loss%
44%
37%

Arouca fights hard but often stumbles in the first half, with just 22% wins and 45% losses. Estoril, full of energy, shines brighter here, boasting 37% wins and only 33% losses. This shows Estoril's early dominance over Arouca's struggling start in matches.

In the second half, Arouca picks up pace with 26% wins, yet losses linger at 44%. Estoril keeps pushing, hitting 30% wins and 37% losses. This battle highlights Estoril's edge in maintaining control, making their games more thrilling than Arouca's tough climbs.

First goal

48%
44%

Statistics on the percentage of matches, where Arouca and Estoril scored first in the Liga Portugal of the 2025/2026 season

Arouca charges ahead with a 48% chance of scoring first, showing their fierce drive on the pitch. Estoril follows close at 44%, but needs more punch to match.

This edge makes Arouca the bolder team early in games. Estoril fights back, yet they lag in that key moment that often sets the tone.

Cards statistics

Cards per match
Total cards / match
Arouca ARO Estoril EST
6
3
3

Total cards per match for Arouca and Estoril at the tournament Liga Portugal in 2025/2026 season.

Total Cards
Over 1.5
96%
89%
92%
Over 2.5
81%
81%
81%
Over 3.5
70%
81%
75%
Over 4.5
59%
59%
59%
Over 5.5
41%
33%
37%
Over 6.5
37%
22%
29%
Over 7.5
26%
7%
16%
Team Cards
Over 0.5
96%
93%
94%
Over 1.5
70%
78%
74%
Over 2.5
41%
48%
44%
Over 3.5
33%
19%
26%
Over 4.5
26%
11%
18%
Cards Against Team
Cards Against Team
Arouca ARO Estoril EST Average
Over 0.5
85%
85%
85%
Over 1.5
63%
67%
65%
Over 2.5
41%
41%
41%
Over 3.5
37%
15%
26%
Over 4.5
26%
7%
16%

Arouca and Estoril both average 3 cards per match, showing fierce battles on the pitch. Arouca leads in over 5.5 cards at 41%, compared to Estoril's 33%, making Arouca's games more heated. Estoril matches Arouca at 81% for over 2.5 cards, but Arouca pushes further with 70% for over 3.5. These stats paint Arouca as the bolder, card-collecting side, while Estoril stays steady yet intense.

When it comes to team cards, Arouca hits over 1.5 at 70%, outpacing Estoril's 78%—wait, no, Estoril is at 78%, so they're close, but Arouca surges to 41% for over 2.5 against Estoril's 48%. For cards against them, both sit at 85% for over 0.5, but Arouca sees 37% for over 3.5, versus Estoril's 15%, highlighting Arouca's tougher opponents or wilder plays. This comparison shows Arouca's aggressive style shining through cards.

Trends

Arouca

10 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Arouca did not draw

Arouca

10 / 10 of last matches in Liga Portugal Arouca did not draw

Arouca Estoril

9 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a win

Estoril

8 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Estoril did not draw

Estoril

8 / 10 of last matches in Liga Portugal Estoril did not draw

Arouca

5 / 10 of her last matches Arouca in all competitions ended in defeat

Arouca

5 / 10 of last matches Arouca in Liga Portugal ended in defeat

Arouca

4 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a victory Arouca

Estoril

7 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Estoril did not lose

Estoril

7 / 10 of last matches in Liga Portugal Estoril did not lose

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